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Em Morley

A Whopping 1.4 Billion Bricks are Needed to Solve the Housing Crisis

Published On: August 25, 2016 at 8:42 am

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A shortage of brick supply has contributed to sky-high house price growth over the last decade, as growing demand continues to exceed housing supply. A new report claims that a huge 1.4 billion bricks are needed to solve the UK’s housing crisis.

Although contractors are eager to build more homes following the Brexit vote, the UK’s construction industry would require a total of 1.4 billion bricks to help solve the housing shortage. This is the equivalent of the amount needed to build all of the homes in Leicestershire, reveals the Bricks Report from the National Association of Estate Agents (NAEA) and the Centre for Economics and Business Research (Cebr).

Growing demand

Between 2006-16, the expanding UK population triggered widespread growth in housing demand, which has now surpassed the number of homes being built. Given that in 2016, the average UK home is made up of 5,180 bricks, resolving the shortage of 264,000 units would require 1.4 billion bricks.

A Whopping 1.4 Billion Bricks are Needed to Solve the Housing Crisis

A Whopping 1.4 Billion Bricks are Needed to Solve the Housing Crisis

Although house prices are affected by numerous factors, the balance of supply and demand of homes fundamentally drives them. The UK’s housing shortage has caused sharp house price growth and prevented many hopeful buyers from getting onto the property ladder.

What the bricks could build 

The 1.4 billion bricks deficit could, in theory, build some of the UK’s most famous landmarks several times over, including:

  • 740 Big Bens
  • 40 Tower Bridges
  • 3,090 Manchester Town Halls
  • 4,540 Warwick Castles
  • 5,830 Conwy Castles

Brexit bricks 

The NAEA and Cebr believe that the Brexit vote could significantly worsen the bricks deficit. In 2015, 85% of all imported clay and cement – the primary brick components – came from the EU. Depending on how trade negotiations develop, Brexit could have a considerable impact on supply.

The extent of the shortage 

Brick stock steadily declined between 2008-13, and only partially recovered in 2014 and 2015. Two-thirds of small and medium-sized construction firms faced a two-month wait for new brick orders last year, while almost a quarter had to wait up to four months. Additionally, one in six (16%) were forced to wait six to eight months. The report claims that this can partially be put down to a slowdown in building following the recession.

Shrinking homes

Over the past 100 years, the average size of a UK home has shrunk significantly. In the 1920s, the average home was 153m2. Almost 100 years later, in 2016, the average property is around half the size, at 83m2 , meaning that homes have shrunk by 46% in the last century. Although this is partly a result of decreasing family size, it can also be put down to financial restrictions. As house price have risen exceptionally over the past ten years, by 45%, homebuyers have been forced to settle for smaller properties.

In the last decade, the average UK home has shrunk by 9%, or 228 bricks. In 2006, a typical property was 91m2 in size and required a total of 5,408 bricks. Now, the average home requires only 5,180 bricks – but there are still not enough to meet demand.

The Managing Director of the NAEA, Mark Hayward, says: “We all know that the massive lack of supply in housing is an issue that needs resolving urgently. As well as freeing up more land to ensure we can build the right sort of houses in the right places, it’s crucial we have the right materials and skills to do so. It seems a simple consideration, but the fact that we don’t have enough bricks to meet demand has a very real effect and holds up the process from beginning to end. We’re concerned that the impact of the EU referendum means this problem could get worse, as we rely on the import of brick components from the EU, and of course, many of our skilled labourers come from there too.”

Skills shortage

Alongside the bricks deficit, a skills shortage in the UK has also restricted housebuilding, as construction-based jobs are declining in popularity. This is a result of housebuilding slowing down during the recession, causing workers to find alternative careers and many choosing not to return when the market recovered.

The recent vote to leave the EU may also impose restrictions on foreign workers coming to the UK, which would also affect the UK’s ability to build more homes. Additionally, fewer young people are completing the training necessary to fill roles in the field, so trade bodies are now calling on the Government to make construction apprenticeships more attractive, through incentives.

Hayward concludes: “The UK housing market is in crisis, with young buyers unable to get on the ladder and families continuing to live in houses they’ve out-grown for longer than traditionally they would have had to. Houses may be getting smaller, but we are needing to build more of them than ever, so ultimately, our need for bricks is greater than before. We need investment in the sector to boost production, and housebuilding needs an image overhaul to become a more attractive career prospect for school leavers and graduates.

“Until this is addressed, we might as well resign ourselves to a lifetime of astronomical prices and falling levels of homeownership.”

Student rents soar as expectations rise

Published On: August 25, 2016 at 8:31 am

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Latest research has revealed that student rents have surged at a substantial rate during the last 20 years.

Benham & Reeves Residential Lettings data suggests that student rents have soared by 55.5% over the period, in comparison to 24% for non-student accommodation.

Student rental rise

The firm suggests that students are moving away from more traditional accommodation in favour of more luxurious flats and halls of residence. This is despite the hike in tuition fees over recent years.

Gone are the days when students settle for substandard properties, with many demanding well-kept, decorated dwellings with fast internet and en-suite bathrooms.

As part of its investigation, Benham and Reeves took a survey of its own offices and respective student properties and tenants. Over the 20 year period, the average monthly spend on rent has increased significantly. However, the average number of people sharing a property has dropped.

Expectations

Lettings Director at Benham & Reeves Residential Lettings, Marc von Grundherr, said, ‘part of the reason we see student’s expectations and therefore requirements changing is because of demographics. With the abolition of student grants and the introduction of tuition fees, many young people from lower income backgrounds have eschewed university degrees and gone straight into the workforce. Those who have sought university degrees tend to be more affluent while simultaneously, universities have topped up student numbers by welcoming greater numbers of overseas students.’[1]

‘These groups simply aren’t prepared to live in traditional ‘student houses’ with 5 rooms to one toilet and a very basic kitchen. They want to continue to live at the same standard they have at home. Private halls of residence have increased in popularity in response, many with rents approaching £400 per week. Unsurprisingly, many students are also turning to studio and one bedroom apartments that command a similar rental value.’[1]

Student rents soar as expectations rise

Student rents soar as expectations rise

Clampdown

It is not just students becoming more refined that has led to an increase in expectation and rents. Increases in regulation enforced by councils, particularly a clampdown in houses in multiple occupation (HMO’s) means that larger properties normally shared by four or five people are becoming rarer.

A consequence of fewer people sharing a property is higher rents, alongside utilities and associated fees.

Another key factor is overseas property investment. Traditionally, overseas investors purchased property for their offspring while studying. Eventually, these properties were retained as rental investments.

Benham & Reeves Lettings found that 98.7% of their clients that did this found that when their children had left the UK at the conclusion of their studies, the increased property value covered the total cost of education.

Social change

Mr von Grundherr concluded by saying, ‘I think there is also greater social change, as well. Today’s students have grown up in an era of easy credit, cheap flights and mass luxury. The idea of slumming it is completely foreign to them. They would much rather go deeper into debt than shiver in an unheated house. Parents also have more concerns about their children’s safety and don’t want them living in a questionable part of town. The television series Fresh Meat may have only recently gone off the air but the premise of six students sharing a run-down Victorian house already seems dated

[1] http://www.propertyreporter.co.uk/landlords/student-rents-surge-as-luxury-digs-gain-popularity.html

Prime property prices on capital commuter links rise

Published On: August 24, 2016 at 11:47 am

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Prime property prices in  London commuter locations have seen a rise during the second quarter of 2016.

According to data released by Knight Frank, property in UK locations on key train lines have seen substantial rises.

Prime positions

In Bristol, where commuters can easily access London’s Paddington station, property prices have increased by 7.4% in the year to June. The second quarter of 2016 saw a 17% increase in new buyer interest and a 19% rise in viewings.

Nearby in Cheltenham, prime property prices increased by 8.6% year-on-year and 2% in the last quarter. In Oxford, prime property values rose by just 0.3% between April and June, taking annual price growth to 0.7%.

Oliver Knight, research associate at Knight Frank, said, ‘after several years of strong price increases, during which the city has comfortably outperformed the wider UK, the latest figures suggest that price growth at the top end of the market in Oxford has started to ease.’[1]

‘While the fundamentals underpinning the market remain unchanged, the reasons for the easing are twofold. Firstly, there was a softening in demand for prime property in the immediate run up to the EU referendum, with potential purchasers adopting a wait and see approach. Secondly and arguably more importantly, recent changes to stamp duty levied on the purchase price of the most valuable properties has made buyers increasingly price sensitive,’ he continued.[1]

Prime property prices on capital commuter links rise

Prime property prices on capital commuter links rise

Imbalance

A rising imbalance between supply and demand is driving price growth in the Cheltenham market. In all, there were 19% less prime properties available for sale in Cheltenham at the end of June in comparison to last year. What’s more, demand has been underpinned by historically low interest rates, with buyers able to gain from very inviting fixed-term mortgage deals.

Nick Chivers, of Knight Frank Cheltenham, believes that the town has some of Britain’s best schools and transport links. He feels, ‘these assets, combined with the on-going imbalance between supply and demand, will continue to underpin sales in the area.’[1]

Meanwhile, Knight observed, ‘Bristol’s continued strong price growth highlights an ongoing trend of demand among buyers for properties in towns and cities that are home to excellent transport links, schools and amenities.’[1]

[1] http://www.propertywire.com/news/europe/uk-prime-property-prices-2016082412304.html

Have the Banks Overreacted Toward Buy-to-Let Landlords Following Brexit?

Published On: August 24, 2016 at 11:13 am

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Although Britain has not yet triggered Article 50, which gives the country two years to negotiate an exit from the EU, banks have reacted to the Brexit by curbing lending for buy-to-let landlords. But have they overreacted?

Although landlords may be concerned about the future of property investment following changes by the banks, one expert believes it is all a knee-jerk reaction.

Have the Banks Overreacted Toward Buy-to-Let Landlords Following Brexit?

Have the Banks Overreacted Toward Buy-to-Let Landlords Following Brexit?

Newcastle BS, Barclays, Foundation Home Loans and TSB have all recently announced that they are trying to limit buy-to-let lending, with TSB increasing its rental coverage ratio by 20% to 145%.

For loan-to-value (LTV) ratios up to 65%, the rental cover calculation will be 145% or 5% of the pay rate, whichever is higher. For LTVs between 65.01-75%, the calculation will be 145% or 5.5% of the pay rate.

However, other banks have shrugged off Brexit concerns and remain committed to their lending practices, despite warnings over risky loan exposure following the Brexit.

Shawbrook, Metro Bank and Virgin Money have all reported strong growth for the first half of the year, thanks to a surge in lending to both individuals and companies.

A recent forecast from estate agent Countrywide says that house prices will drop by just 1% in 2017, before rising by 2% in 2018. However, the firm believes that the cooling market is not just down to uncertainty about Brexit and has highlighted the impact of the Stamp Duty surcharge on the industry.

According to Peter Armistead, of Armistead Property, banks have overreacted to the Brexit news, at a time when we do not know what the consequences of the vote will be for buy-to-let landlords.

He says: “It is worth taking all the scaremongering with a pinch of salt. While the future for the buy-to-let market looks certain, what is clear is that mortgage interest rates remain very attractive. Buy-to-let investors who are in a position to buy now could benefit from not only low mortgage rates, but lower property prices.

“The buy-to-let market is strong and continues to provide essential housing for a growing UK population. It is estimated that two million Britons are now private landlords, collectively renting out five million properties. With rising demand for rental property and a growing shortage of accommodation, the buy-to-let market will continue to give a good return on investment.”

He continues: “Even before Brexit, the buy-to-let market was slowing, due to the new tax measures introduced by the chancellor. Although the Government is trying to curb the buy-to-let market, property investment is robust in the long term. However, lending may be further constrained and the banking industry may be hit harder in a few years.

“So far, figures from the Halifax and Nationwide show a slowdown from earlier in the year, when many investors rushed to get deals done before April. However, the market has not seen the type of falls that project fear was predicting before the referendum. The slowdown is pretty much in line with seasonal expectations following the bull market of January to April 2016.”

Armistead adds: “The market does not like uncertainty and we may have several years of this, along with potentially more issues to deal with.”

Rise in limited company buy-to-let mortgage applications

Published On: August 24, 2016 at 10:24 am

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A rising number of buy-to-let landlords are beginning to apply for mortgages via limited companies, according to new data.

The Buy to Let Club has recorded a rise in limited company applications during June, with the trend continuing during July.

Trends

This increase backs up other data that shows similar patterns in the market. A number of landlords are incorporating as a result of the increase in stamp duty and changes in mortgage interest tax relief, coming into force in 2017.

Mortgages for Business have stated that both applications and completions for limited company lenders has stabilised at one-third of the total of buy-to-let business.

Ying Tan, managing director of Buy to Let Club said, ‘we saw an unusually high number of limited company applications in June this year totalling 22% of our packaged cases and July has proved to be another strong month. We are seeing limited company rates falling as competition in the market heats up in preparation for the tax changes in 2017 and landlords are clearly taking advantage of this.’[1]

Rise in limited company buy-to-let mortgage applications

Rise in limited company buy-to-let mortgage applications

Exclusive product

As a result of the rise, Precise Mortgages has launched an exclusive limited company buy-to-let three-year fixed rate mortgage product through the Buy to Let Club.

This product is fixed at 3.54% until 31 October 2019 up to 75% LTV. It comes with an arrangement fee of 1.5%, while early repayment fees are 3% until 31st October 2017, followed by 2% for the next two years.

Alan Cleary, managing director at Precise Mortgages, observed, ‘we work closely with Buy to Let Club in mortgage product design and this type of product is growing in popularity and I expect it to be a popular choice amongst brokers and landlords.’[2]

[1] https://www.landlordtoday.co.uk/breaking-news/2016/8/sharp-rise-in-limited-company-applications-from-buy-to-let-landlords

Government Launches Consultation into Mandatory CMP for Letting Agents

Published On: August 24, 2016 at 9:25 am

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The Government has launched a consultation into whether Client Money Protection (CMP) should be made mandatory for letting agents.

Depending on the responses to the consultation, mandatory CMP could be added into the Housing and Planning Act 2016.

The Government estimates that 60-80% of agents voluntarily have CMP.

Government Launches Consultation into Mandatory CMP for Letting Agents

Government Launches Consultation into Mandatory CMP for Letting Agents

However, the consultation document from the Department for Communities and Local Government makes it clear that the Government is indifferent about making CMP mandatory.

It states: “The Government’s concern about making CMP mandatory is that requiring agents to pay to belong to a scheme would force honest agents to buy insurance against themselves being fraudulent. Something the vast majority of agents are not.

“There are two main reasons why a landlord or tenant could lose their money which is held by a letting agent. The first is that the agent is fraudulent, the second is that the agent has gone bankrupt.”

It continues: “While an agent will not always be aware that they are about to go under, client money held in registered client accounts agreed in advance with the bank will be protected and returned to the client rather than used to settle the agent’s debts.

“This is standard business practice and not expensive, so good agents can protect their client’s money without having to join third party insurance arrangements, which could result in higher rents for tenants.”

At present, under the Consumer Rights Act 2015, letting agents are required to display their fees, whether they are part of a CMP scheme and which redress scheme they belong to in their offices and on their websites.

The consultation document adds: “It was the Government’s view that with this, the balance of regulation for letting agents was about right, and we need to allow time for the transparency measures to bed in.”

However, the document says that during the passing of the Housing and Planning Act 2016, it became clear that there was widespread support for mandatory CMP for letting agents.

As a result, the Government will make CMP mandatory for letting agents if a working group demonstrates the necessity of such measures. The working group is led by Lord Palmer and Baroness Hayter, who co-signed the consultation document, along with the Housing Minister, Gavin Barwell.

The consultation asks 17 questions, including whether CMP should be mandatory and if so, would it affect rents? It will run for six weeks.

The Managing Director of the Association of Residential Letting Agents, David Cox, comments on the consultation: “CMP is an entirely sensible measure that protects both the landlord and tenant in the unlikely event that an agent goes into administration or misappropriates a client’s funds. We have been calling for the launch of this review for some time, so we are very pleased that it has now been announced. It provides an extra, but essential, degree of security for professionals in the industry, as letting agents currently hold approximately £2.7 billion in client funds.

“We hope that the review will finally lead to full, mandatory CMP and look forward to engaging with the review team, including Baroness Hayter and Lord Palmer, who we have worked closely with in the past. It’s really important for members, and the wider industry, to come together as one clear, loud voice to call for full, mandatory CMP through this consultation.”