Posts with tag: prime property market

London market is proving to be ‘strange’

Published On: July 27, 2017 at 11:49 am

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London is undoubtedly a buyer’s market at present, with those looking to purchase prime property in the capital becoming more pragmatic.

Vendors therefore are being more realistic about property prices or being more prepared to negotiate, in order to achieve a sale.

Withdrawals

However, while some sellers now understand the need to factor in stamp duty and economic uncertainty into their expectations, this is not the case for all. Indeed, some vendors would rather withdraw their property from the market, if they feel they are unlikely to hit their bottom-line price.

Some 58% worth of properties withdrawn from the market in central London so far in 2017 were withdrawn as opposed to being sold, according to data from LonRes. This is not only restricting supply from prospective purchasers, but also much needed stock for estate agents.

Marcus Dixon, Head of Research at LonRes, observed: ‘This gives you an idea of just how sluggish the market is. There are large numbers of people in properties they would really rather sell.’[1]

London market is proving to be 'strange'

London market is proving to be ‘strange’

The level of withdrawals is an, ‘important barometer of the market,’ Dixon want on to note. He also observed that a lack of forced sellers have not been coupled with a decline in the economy, unlike during the economic crash.

Concluding, Mr Dixon said: ‘The housing market has slowed considerably but not a huge amount of people are losing their jobs or finding themselves unable to pay their mortgages.’

‘It creates a strange market in which lots of people are staying in properties that aren’t very suitable for them anymore.’[1]

[1] https://www.propertyinvestortoday.co.uk/breaking-news/2017/7/london-is-a-strange-market-filled-with-people-living-in-unsuitable-properties

 

Election result preventing traditional house price surge

Published On: July 21, 2017 at 9:52 am

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The most recent analysis from buying agents Garrington Property Finders suggests that the General Election in June has so far failed to give the prime property market a boost.

This has gone against the trend seen in the last five General Elections.

Paralysis

According to the data, the post-election paralysis has been seen most prominently in London. The annual change in prime property prices per square foot here slipped by 7.1% in the last month, dropping from a 3.3% increase in May to a 3.8% decrease in June.

In addition, the number of transactions is also down, with the number of prime properties sold in London during June falling by 15.8% in comparison to May.

Data from June for the rest of England and Wales has yet to be published, although the capital’s Prime market is seen as a good indication of the results to follow. Should these trends be seen elsewhere, we will see a dramatic reversal of the more traditional post-election bounce seen in the UK’s prime property market.

Sales

Analysis of official Land Registry data shows that across England and Wales, sales of prime property increased by an average of 26% in the two months directly after the last five Elections.

In fact, the prime market has outpaced the non-prime market stretching back to Tony Blair’s victory in 1997.

The prime market is defined as the most expensive 10% of properties sold in a region in any one year. During the first six months of 2017, the prime market began strongly, with prices rising by 4% on average.

Election result preventing traditional house price surge

Election result preventing traditional house price surge

Uncertainty

Jonathan Hopper, Managing Director of Garrington Property Finders, observed: ‘This early snapshot of the post-election market confirms what many had feared – there has been no sudden relief rally. The Prime market tends to be the most sensitive to political and economic uncertainty, and the current dose of both is clearly having a cooling effect, especially in London. Britain hasn’t had a minority government since 1974, so the fragility of the new government’s mandate and ongoing concerns over Brexit are pushing the market into uncharted waters.’[1]

‘Yet for astute buyers those uncharted waters can teem with opportunity. Prime prices in London have softened considerably in the wake of the 2014 Stamp Duty increase and last year’s Brexit referendum. In that time we’ve seen a steady stream of buyers secure substantial discounts as anxious sellers adjust their expectations in return for the certainty of a sale,’ he continued.[1]

Concluding, Mr Hopper said: ‘Where London leads other regions tend to follow, and as the post-election fizzle spreads out from the capital, the next few months will provide some strong buying opportunities for Prime buyers across the country.’[1]

[1] http://www.propertyreporter.co.uk/property/minority-government-puts-breaks-on-traditional-post-poll-house-price-surge.html

 

Most Expensive Homebuyers Prefer City Living

Published On: November 19, 2015 at 10:17 am

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Buyers purchasing the most expensive homes are choosing to live in urban areas, as opposed to a rural setting, reveals analysis of prime property sales by Knight Frank.

Research by the firm looked at the places outside of London where the most expensive property sales were completed. It found that the top 10% were in towns and cities.

Typically, prime house sales outside the capital are for properties costing between £400,000-£500,000.

Most Expensive Homebuyers Prefer City Living

Most Expensive Homebuyers Prefer City Living

Although the number of prime sales in England and Wales dropped by 13% between 2005-14, in six locations, the amount increased by more than 40% over the same period.

According to Knight Frank’s data, house prices in town and city markets have risen by 26% since 2005 and now stand 3% above the peak recorded in 2007. Rural property values have grown by just 7% and are currently 13% below the pre-crisis high.

The locations with the biggest increase in prime sales are all in the South East, with Tonbridge coming out on top after an 80% rise in transactions in the last ten years. Cambridge is second, with prime sales increasing by 69% and an average house price of £811,332 in the top 10% of the market.

Recently, house builder Hill revealed that it has sold six homes on a seven-property development in Cambridge, before the scheduled launch date. The £1.3m price of a four-bedroom home clearly did not discourage buyers. The purchasers were described as a mix of Cambridge residents, some of which commute to London. They are predominantly owner-occupiers.

Knight Frank expects the trend for urban living to continue.

Senior Analyst at Knight Frank, Oliver Knight, comments: “The top towns and cities are all places that are doing well economically. A lot of the reason people move is for work and many of these areas are places where new jobs are being created.”

As well as being a commuter hotspot, Tonbridge could also be witnessing increased activity as banking jobs in nearby Tunbridge Wells are on the rise, says Knight.

Cambridge and Exeter also have science parks, which drive employment levels up.

Knight concludes: “As the economy continues to recover and house prices outside London show further growth, we predict more London buyers will make the move out to the regions and this will boost the ripple effect of house price growth from the capital.”1

1 http://www.theguardian.com/money/2015/nov/15/wealthy-homebuyers-prefer-to-live-in-cities

£1m Mortgages on the Rise

Published On: October 5, 2015 at 1:54 pm

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The housing crisis may be causing chaos in the lower end of the property market, but in the £1m mortgage sector, activity is mounting.

Over the past year, the amount of £1m and over mortgages granted by major lenders has risen by almost a fifth, while one in 14 borrowers have mortgages of more than £500,000.

Nationwide revealed that it has 269 customers on mortgages over £1m, compared to 167 this time last year. NatWest granted 233 mortgages of more than £1m in 2014 and so far this year, has approved a further 207. It expects to end this year up 18% in this category.

Financial regulators require these wealthy buyers to go through the same affordability checks as ordinary homebuyers before being granted a loan. Ray Boulger of mortgage brokers John Charcol comments: “We were going through the expenditure section with one such client and we asked how much his travelling expenses were. He said: ‘I don’t know. I have a plane.’”1

The high value mortgages taken out to purchase prime properties in central London are often granted by private banks rather than high street brands.

Land Registry figures reveal that of the 100 most expensive homes sold in the UK last year, UBS of Switzerland funded 10 of them, worth £173m in total. The next biggest lenders were HSBC, Credit Suisse, Barclays, Coutts and JP Morgan.

Since the financial crisis, many average earners have had to take out repayment mortgages, while wealthier workers are often offered lower-cost, interest-only deals with privately negotiated rates.

£1m Mortgages on the Rise

£1m Mortgages on the Rise

It may be surprising that the super rich need mortgages, but brokers find that, as rates are so low, the wealthy prefer to borrow against their homes and use the cash to purchase alternative assets.

The prime mortgage market is divided between foreign buyers and domestic purchasers. The international elite use private banks to fund home purchases in Kensington and Chelsea, while British buyers use high street banks to buy £1m-£3m properties in southwest London, Surrey and Cheshire.

However, Boulger reports that the elite market is currently slow, but the £1m-£2m sector is still thriving.

These home purchases are paid for with very high incomes. Halifax found that the average annual income of customers with £1m mortgages is £389,000, while the typical applicant is a banker or footballer, say specialist mortgage brokers.

Coreco’s Andrew Montlake finds: “We have seen some eye-watering payslips over the past few months, as well as large bonus payments or exceptional sets of accounts, which have been used to prove income and affordability.

“We are seeing a return of high street lenders into the £1m plus arena, eager to bolster their lending levels. Many lenders are comfortable again and returning to the £1m to £2m lending market.”1

SPF Private Clients, a broker firm of estate agents Savills, reports booming business.

Its Chief Executive, Mark Harris, says: “We do lots of mortgages above £1m and are up 63% year-on-year. Borrowers tend to work in financial services, the legal profession, hedge funds, private equity, or are professional sportsmen.” He adds that footballers are the most common sportspeople customers.

Most £1m-plus mortgages are for homes in London, accounting for just under eight out of ten loans. A further 13% are in the Home Counties and South East and the rest are across the UK.

Nationwide’s £1m hotspot is Richmond upon Thames, while Charcol reports that outside central London, its highest loan clients are in Weybridge, Surrey and Altrincham, Cheshire.

In the first half of 2014, there were 4,259 sales of homes worth over £1m in London, compared to just seven in Wales.

The Council of Mortgage Lenders (CML) says that its members granted 1,200 £1m-plus loans in 2013, growing to 1,400 in 2014. However, this figure does not include many private banks that dominate the high net-worth sector.

However, it’s not just the wealthy taking out huge loans. Many buyers are being forced to max out their borrowing to afford a home. The Building Societies Association reports that in 2008, just 3% of mortgages were over £500,000, but this has since doubled to 7%.

To the super-rich, £1m mortgages have become more affordable, as interest rates have hit record low levels.

Repayments on £1m loans start at around £5,000 per month – the equivalent to three times the average full-time worker’s monthly salary.

However, if the Bank of England (BoE) base rate increases from 0.5% to 3%, as predicted, a £1m loan will cost the borrower more than £7,000 a month.

Those taking out £1m mortgages will discover that these loans don’t get them very far in the London property market.

Rightmove reports that there are currently 765 one-bedroom flats for sale in London priced over £1m, with one costing £8.5m. In the previously riot-ridden streets of Brixton, two-bed homes can go for more than £2m.

Adrian Anderson, of Mayfair-based mortgage broker Anderson Harris, observes: “Most of the high value properties tend to be in London. However, I have seen a shift in clients seeking to cash out of London and purchase much larger properties in the country.

“Values in London have grown a lot more than values outside of London over the past five years. A large country house can sometimes cost less than £500 per square foot, [whereas] a house in Chelsea can cost £2,000 per square foot, hence large houses outside of London may look good value comparatively. Some clients have explored selling their London family home and purchasing a large country property and a small flat in town.”1 

1 http://www.theguardian.com/business/2015/oct/02/britains-super-rich-cash-in-low-interest-rates-1m-mortgages

 

Prime country house prices continuing to increase

Published On: October 2, 2015 at 3:11 pm

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A new report has indicated that prime country house prices continue to rise, with tax policy beginning to make an impact at the top end of the market.

Data from an investigation by Knight Frank shows that prime country house prices increased by 0.7% between July and September. Prices for this type of property have now increased for the eleventh quarter in succession.

Increases

Yearly growth also increased to 2.7%, up from 2.3% during Q2 of this year but down from its recent high of 5.2% in 2014. As a whole, the market is continuing to feel the impact of the increased cost of stamp duty, following the changes in December 2014.[1]

Latest figures from the Land Registry indicate that between January and July of this year, there were 35% less sales of homes with a value of more than £1.5m outside of London from the same time last year.

The prime market below £1.5m has been less affected by the changes. In fact, prices for homes valued under this figure have grown by almost 4% in the year to September. In comparison, properties over £1.5m have seen a price rise of 2%.[1]

Imbalance

Homes under £1.5m, price growth has been driven by demand for homes in town and city centres. These include regions such as Bristol, Bath and Oxford, where buyers are attracted to features such as good schooling and transport links. There is however a significant differentiation between property prices in the prime country market and in London. Evidence from agents suggests that there is significant demand from purchasers in the Home Counties and in the South West.

Prime country house prices continuing to increase

Prime country house prices continuing to increase

Prime country house prices are still 14% below their 2007 peak, whereas in contrast, prime prices in London are currently 34% higher than their previous peak values. A surge in prices in the capital during the last few years means that buyers looking to swap city life for one in the country are getting more from their money.

‘With such an imbalance in market values between London and country prices together with the surprise Conservative victory in the general election, we all expected much more activity,’ said Rupert Sweeting, Head of Knight Frank Country. ‘The two stumbling blocks have been the introduction of higher rates of stamp duty which means that at £10m, a buyer may be paying a further £1.2m on top. This, combined with the new tax regime being introduced through the Finance Act has caused many to put on hold their buying plans until they have digested the minutiae of that Act,’ he continued.[1]

‘However, activity is picking up this autumn in the realisation that country property is looking good value and we have seen bidding wars for houses if and when the guide price is at the right level. Looking ahead, with another four and a half years of Conservative rule and the economy looking stronger, we expect activity levels to rise,’ Sweeting added.[1]

[1] http://www.propertyreporter.co.uk/property/prime-country-house-prices-continue-to-rise.html

 

 

 

Stamp duty increases affecting prime market

Published On: July 29, 2015 at 12:47 pm

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A new report suggests that changes in stamp duty will lead to the sales of high-value properties falling for the first time in two years.

Analysis from national estate agents Jackson-Stops & Staff indicates prices are set to drop off, despite a growth of 36% in this sector between 2012-2014.

Alterations

Under the new stamp duty legislation, properties valued between £925,001 and £1.5m have had an extra 10% bill added, with this figure rising to 12% for properties in excess of £1.5m.[1]

‘The wider UK residential property markets are reasonably buoyant now that we have the general election behind us and the uncertainties that any potential political changes bring,’ said Nicholas Leeming, chairman of Jackson-Stops & Staff. ‘However, the revision to stamp duty rates late last year has contributed to the widespread stagnation of the higher valued markets in 2015, both in London and the country, where many properties are finding it difficult to attract buyers.’[1]

‘Sale volumes have plateaued across the country in response to high transaction costs, reflecting the fact that the UK has one of the highest taxed property sectors in the world,’ he added.[1]

Stamp duty increases affecting prime market

Stamp duty increases affecting prime market

Ageing

Mr Leeming went on to say, ‘we have an ageing house owner problem with too few younger entrants onto the property ladder. Mortgage funding is difficult to raise for people in their forties, even if they have been previous house owners, irrespective of their credit history.’[1]

He feels that Government must encourage, ‘trading down so that larger houses are released to families needing more space.’ He also said, ‘the changes to inheritance tax will incentivise older house owners to trade down, but we also need to enable property owners to move without new restrictions to mortgage funding and reduce the top levels of stamp duty to free up the higher value markets at no net loss to the Exchequer.’[1]

No incentive

Director of Jackson-Stops & Staff’s Sevenoaks office Alistair Hancock commented that more than a third of available stock is priced in excess of £1.5m. He believes that this is down to a lack of incentive for prime buyers at the middle-to-top end of the market.

‘Since the stamp duty hike last December, we have seen a significant decline in volume of sales at this level as the 12% continues to penalise the country house market, which is still struggling to recover from the recession.’[1]

[1] http://www.propertywire.com/news/europe/uk-property-stamp-duty-2015072910801.html