Posts with tag: house prices

Private rental market valued at £1.4trn in current market conditions

Published On: July 27, 2021 at 8:27 am

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Categories: Landlord News,Property News

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The current bricks and mortar value of the UK private rental sector (PRS) now sits at almost £1.4trn, research from Sequre Property Investment shows.

The buy-to-let specialist has compiled data on the number of current private rented dwellings across England, Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland, and calculated the total value of these rental portfolios based on current property values.

The company estimates there are 5.5m privately rented homes across the UK, accounting for 19% of the entire property market. With the current average UK house price now at £254,624, this puts the PRS bricks and mortar value as high as £1.4trn.

4.8m homes within the sector reside within England alone. This places the total value of the English rental market at £1.3trn based on the current average house price of £271,434.

London accounts for 40% of this total market value, with the 1,042,000 rental homes located in the capital valued at nearly £519bn.

The South East (£234bn) and the East of England (£154bn) are also home to some of the most valuable rental markets, with rental stock in each region estimated to be worth more than £150bn.

Outside of England, Scotland ranks as the second most valuable rental market from a property standpoint, with the 371,000 privately rented homes worth nearly £64bn on the market.

In Wales, this current rental market value stands just shy of £38bn, with the Northern Irish private rental market valued at nearly £18bn.

Daniel Jackson, Sales Director at Sequre Property Investment, comments: “The private rental market is the backbone of the UK housing sector and plays an incredibly important role in providing homes for those that are unable to overcome the financial hurdles associated with homeownership.

“Despite this, we’ve seen a number of legislative changes implemented to deter landlords from the sector by a government that clearly has no idea what they are doing.

“While it may only account for 19% of the total market, reducing the size of the sector would leave many struggling to find an alternative option with regard to their living arrangements.”

The estimated worth of the dwellings within the PRS based on the number of dwellings and the current market value of a home in each nation or region.

LocationAll dwellingsPrivate rentedPrivate rented as a % of allAverage Property ValueTotal est value
United Kingdom29,559,7775,493,83018.6%£254,624£1,398,860,363,632
      
England24,658,0004,799,00019.5%£271,434£1,302,611,145,489
Scotland2,650,000371,00014.0%£171,448£63,607,184,256
Wales1,437,567204,95514.3%£184,297£37,772,604,137
Northern Ireland814,210118,87514.6%£149,178£17,733,512,868
      
London3,634,0001,042,00028.7%£497,948£518,861,773,174
South East3,985,000670,00016.8%£350,016£234,510,389,824
East of England2,733,000497,00018.2%£310,200£154,169,527,431
South West2,604,000506,00019.4%£277,603£140,466,965,340
North West3,334,000556,00016.7%£189,245£105,220,424,552
West Midlands region2,537,000451,00017.8%£219,793£99,126,788,132
Yorkshire and the Humber2,461,000482,00019.6%£181,856£87,654,406,816
East Midlands2,124,000391,00018.4%£216,077£84,486,121,936
North East1,246,000203,00016.3%£143,129£29,055,143,233

Average house prices sourced from the Gov.uk – UK house Price Index (May 2021 – latest available).

Dwellings stock and tenure sourced from Gov.uk, Gov.walesNRS Scotland and Gov.scotNISRA and finance-NI-gov.uk.

Latest government UK House Price Index shows growth continues

The latest government UK House Price Index has been released, showing that house prices have increased by 10% in the year to May 2021.

The average price of a UK property during May was £254,624 and there was a monthly price change of 0.9%, the report states.

Marc von Grundherr, Director of Benham and Reeves, comments: “It’s clear that the extension of the Stamp Duty holiday caused the market to rebound immediately from the decline in market performance seen as a result of the original deadline. 

“Of course, it’s simply irresponsible to measure the health of the market based on a metric as erratic as the monthly rate of house price growth and anyone who seeks to do so would do well to retire their crystal ball to the cupboard from which it came. 

“The real proof in the pudding is the extremely strong performance seen on an annual basis and one that continues to defy expectation despite fears the market could soon run out of steam. 

“While London continues to trail the rest of the market in this respect, we’re beginning to see the cogs start to turn, driven by a return to the workplace and pre-emptive demand from foreign buyers in anticipation of a move later in the year. As a result, the London property market will continue to build momentum long after the carrot of a Stamp Duty reprieve has been removed.”

James Forrester, Managing Director of Barrows and Forrester, comments: “The property market continues to move forward at an alarming pace, powered by a full tank of buyer demand and a shortage of housing stock to satisfy this hunger for homeownership. While the end of the Stamp Duty holiday may well act as a slight bump in the road, it will take far more than a marginal decline in homebuyer sentiment to cause the wheels to fall off.”

Matthew Cooper, Founder & Managing Director of Yes Homebuyers, comments: “It’s abundantly clear that the market came to a shuddering halt due to the original Stamp Duty deadline and while we may now see transactions and house price growth yo-yo due to the double-pronged extension, there’s no hiding the fact that a correction is on its way.

“While the government may claim they have successfully kept the market afloat during the pandemic, the reality couldn’t be more different. House price affordability has spiralled and is now even further out of reach for the average homebuyer. Those lucky enough to secure a purchase remain bogged down in lengthy market delays and rather than build more homes, the government continues to feed the furnace to keep property values artificially inflated.

“It’s a real mess and one that will take some time to clean up once it does inevitably hit the fan.”

Ged McPartlin, Managing Director of Ascend Properties, comments: “House prices continue to boom, with the North West sitting on pole and driving market performance in this respect.

“It’s clear that the north-south divide has never been wider and while this momentous rate of price growth must inevitably slow at some point, we expect this vast difference in property pedigree to remain as buyers in the North continue to benefit from a far more affordable market, with, or without the benefit of a Stamp Duty saving.”

Lucy Pendletonproperty expert at independent estate agents James Pendleton, says: “The latest UK HPI figures reflect sales that completed in May when buyers were still enjoying the full Stamp Duty holiday. At that time, the atmosphere was frenzied as buyers sprinted to complete sales before the end of June.

“Price growth has cooled a little since the deadline has passed, but the cliff-edge scenario many were predicting hasn’t played out. Prices haven’t collapsed, very few transactions have fallen through and we are seeing a healthy level of new instructions.

“This can be attributed to a number of factors. The race for space in many areas of the country hasn’t abated and demand remains at levels we were seeing several months ago.

“There’s still a lack of good quality stock coming onto the market, which means buyers are less worried about missing out on the full tax benefit as they are on a particular property. If anything, it’s a minor inconvenience for buyers, and not critical enough to derail transactions.

“The Stamp Duty break tapering off, rather than being cut off immediately at the end of June, has also avoided the prospect of a wave of transactions collapsing near the finishing line.

“Buyers don’t feel under pressure to complete and sellers feel more comfortable about listing knowing transactions aren’t likely to fail, and I don’t see that changing even as we approach the end of September, when the tapered relief ends.

“We are also expecting to see a buoyant market over the summer, when typically, activity drops off. With the majority of families holidaying at home this year, and many choosing to delay their holidays, more people will take this opportunity to push through house sales and purchases.

“London may have seen the slowest growth of any area over the past year, but there are also positive signs it’s finally waking from its slumber, as more restrictions have been lifted.

“And while the legacy of the pandemic is likely to see many businesses adopting flexible working policies, and fewer people having to commute into work full-time, the bright lights of the big city, and what it has to offer, still has a tremendous appeal.

“As soon as the Capital opens fully again, we are confident the property market will burst back into life.”

Iain McKenzie, CEO of The Guild of Property Professionals, says: “All good things must come to an end, and these figures capture the final frenzy to make the most of Government incentives to buy in the month before the Stamp Duty holiday began to be scaled back.

“However, several indicators show the enthusiasm is still thrumming through the property market, with mortgage approvals higher in May than they were in April.

“London has seen the slowest growth in house prices, partly owing to an already inflated market and large numbers of people who have moved out of the capital during the pandemic.

“Meanwhile, the North West has seen the largest jump in house prices as home-movers look for more space and value for money.

“There could be some fluctuation in the months ahead, but we are still anticipating prices to remain high. Lifestyle changes mean high demand will outlast the final closure of the Stamp Duty holiday at the beginning of October.”

Nicky StevensonManaging Director at national estate agent group Fine & Country, says: “The housing market has been running much hotter and faster than anyone expected, and despite a slight softening last month, today’s data shows there’s plenty of momentum still left.

“Low borrowing costs, reduced supply and an insatiable demand for bigger homes has spurred bidding wars and a spike in house values across the country.

“And while we may see growth start to decelerate slightly later in the year as the Stamp Duty holiday is phased out, the dizzying boom we are currently enjoying shows no sign of dipping.

“The remainder of the summer promises more breath-taking annual gains, with price growth in the North West continuing to set the pace.

“While the Stamp Duty holiday helped power the rally, momentum is now so strong that a phased return to full rates shouldn’t signal the beginning of a slump.

“And though growth in London remains the lowest in the country, it too is starting to pick up steam.

“Expect the tail of this boom to go on and on.”

UK house price growth continues, as Nationwide publishes June House Price Index

The June 2021 House Price Index from Nationwide states that annual house price growth has now increased above 13%, with all UK regions recording a pickup in Q2.

The highlights of the report include:

  • Annual house price growth has increased to 13.4%, the highest level since November 2004
  • Prices are up 0.7% month-on-month, after taking account of seasonal factors
  • Northern Ireland has seen the strongest growth in Q2, Scotland the weakest, closely followed by London

Colby Short, Founder and CEO of GetAgent.co.uk, commented: “Properties are going under offer at an alarming pace at the moment and buyers continue to swarm the market despite the dwindling hopes of a Stamp Duty reprieve. There also remains a severe shortage of stock to meet this demand and so sellers are achieving a very good price for their property, often at, or in excess of the original asking price. 

“While a reduction in buyer demand is expected towards the back end of this year, the scales will remain firmly tipped in favour of sellers due to the imbalance between supply and demand and so we should see a buoyant level of property price appreciation remain for the duration of the year.”

Marc von Grundherr, Director of Benham and Reeves, commented: “We’re currently seeing huge rates of house price growth not seen since some time before the last property market crash. There’s no end in sight where this current market performance is concerned, despite some having predicted a market slump on and off since the pandemic first started.

“It’s important to remember that while the market did show signs of slowing down as we approached the original Stamp Duty deadline, we’re now looking at a very different market altogether.

“People are returning to work and life is gradually returning to a greater sense of normality and so the stimulation of a Stamp Duty saving is no longer required in order to maintain market activity.

“London, in particular, is showing strong signs of a shift in momentum across both the rentals and sales market. This is being driven by a realisation that we can’t work from a secluded countryside bolthole forever and now that we are returning to the workplace, a lengthy commute on a stuffy train is no longer as manageable when it’s required five days a week instead of one or two.”

James Forrester, Managing Director of Barrows and Forrester, commented: “The Stamp Duty holiday isn’t the be-all and end-all where homeownership is concerned and it certainly isn’t the primary factor causing buyers to enter the market at mass. So its tapered expiry is unlikely to cause current levels of market activity to evaporate overnight. 

“Once both the initial and extended deadlines have expired, the fires of buyer demand will continue to be stoked by the availability of 95% mortgage products and very low interest rates. Of course, there will be some period of natural market realignment after such a sustained period of manic activity, but we’re worlds away from seeing a property market crash.”

Matthew Cooper, Founder & Managing Director of Yes Homebuyers, commented: “It’s crunch time for the UK market and we can expect to see a far less positive outlook from here on out where house price appreciation is concerned.

“For far too long, homebuyers have been borrowing beyond their means and offering above the odds in a desperate scramble to secure a Stamp Duty holiday saving. Now that this is starting to slip through their fingers we will see a reduction in transaction levels and the inevitable decline in property prices that will soon follow.”

Lucy Pendleton, property expert at independent estate agents James Pendleton, comments: “The market has greeted a largely tax break-free world with an air of indifference that is bordering on animal spirits. 

“The right properties are still selling very fast and there’s still not enough of them to meet demand. Stock levels are down while transactions are relatively high. This imbalanced cocktail is not just keeping prices where they are, it’s driving them on to ever dizzying heights. The result is that the average house price has surged £29,000 in 12 months which is a boon for consumer confidence among homeowners and a staggering rise. 

“If the market was the slightest bit dependent on the Stamp Duty relief, a yawning gap would have opened up in the performance of the market over the past quarter but that chasm is entirely absent. The near-complete raising of the Chancellor’s drawbridge already feels like a distant memory.

“Even in London, which has been trailing the performance of the country at large recently, growth has jumped this quarter despite prices being significantly higher. The capital has shrugged off the withdrawal of Stamp Duty relief as confidence from buyers, who can almost smell the end of Covid restrictions, finally sense a return to normality. There’s a sense that this is now giving people the opportunity to make a longer-term commitment to the capital which is helping sales across all property types.

“As restrictions are eased, the only way is up for London which may not feel the chill of an expected autumn slowdown in quite the same way as the rest of the country.”

Iain McKenzie, CEO of The Guild of Property Professionals, says: “As the nation bites its fingernails ahead of England versus Germany, take solace in one battle with a predictable result – the relentless growth of the housing market.

“With only days to go until the deadline to take advantage of the Stamp Duty holiday in full, the market is seeing a last-minute scramble to complete sales.

“The 13% price rise compared to last June – the highest since 2004 – looks impressive, but it’s important to remember that this time last year the market was mired in lockdown.

“More noteworthy is the three consecutive months of price rises, and a sign of underlying consumer confidence and strength of the housing market. 

“All parts of the UK have seen house prices increase, but the good news for many is that mortgage payments remain stable and affordable.”

David Westgate, group chief executive, Andrews Property Group, comments: “Buyers trying to take advantage of the extended Stamp Duty holiday and the race for more space are pushing house prices into the stratosphere.

“It’s starting to feel like prices are freewheeling with buyers snapping up properties, particularly those with generous outside space, as soon as they come onto the market.

“The end of the full Stamp Duty holiday tomorrow may see activity cool a little, but not significantly, as there are plenty of buyers who still have time and the motivation to complete before the tapered relief ends on 30th September.”

Nicky Stevenson, Managing Director at national estate agent group Fine & Country, comments: “The housing market continues to see an unconstrained rally which may well be going into overdrive as the economy continues to unlock.

“Annual house price growth of this magnitude is something no one thought they’d see, particularly with the Stamp Duty holiday now tapering out.

“Despite that additional cost to buyers, this remains a relatively frenzied market and desirable properties are not staying on the shelf for very long.

“The market is shifting away from short term factors to long term trends caused by the pandemic, which at first were totally underestimated in their influence and staying power.

“If the hunger for larger properties represents a permanent shift, and never reverts to its pre-pandemic norms, then a much-heralded snapping back of prices is going to prove rather elusive later this year.

“The final closure of the Stamp Duty scheme at the end of September may have no impact at all because other factors are so much more important, namely the race for space, low supply, accidental savings and low interest rates.

“London, too, shows signs it may finally be emerging from its slumber, and all eyes will be on the bright lights of the capital as offices and workspaces continue to re-open.”

Record house price growth in Wales and the north as London stands still

Rightmove’s May 2021 House Price Index reports that the average asking price for UK properties has increased by 1.8% since the previous month.

Rightmove also states:

  • Average London house prices are 2.9 times higher than prices in the norther areas of Great Britain. Although still large, this is the smallest ratio recorded by Rightmove since 2013
  • Wales has seen the most growth since the first lockdown at 13%
  • The north has seen a greater imbalance between demand and supply than London, with people more likely to move locally and some more able to afford to upsize

The full report can be read here.

Marc von Grundherr, Director of Benham and Reeves, comments: “A 0.8% rise in monthly price rises, whilst slower in pace than in recent months, is still almost 10% annually if such a trend were to continue. That’s colossal growth and even more so at the top end of the market where homes are seeing over 12% rises in value despite the fact they may soon miss out on the maximum stamp duty holiday saving of £15,000. This bodes well and may confound the doomsayers that have been forecasting a cliff edge come the end of June.”

Ged McPartlin, Managing Director of Ascend Properties, comments: “Despite some southern regions finally starting to stir, the North continues to lead much of the market where annual house price growth is concerned. It’s probably not accurate to say that cash-rich relocators from southern cities are driving this northern resurgence and this strong performance has been very much built on a foundation of localised demand, from buyers keen to take advantage of record-low interest rates while they can.”

James Forrester, Managing Director of Barrows and Forrester, comments: “Home sellers and their acting agents have never had it so good. Not only are transactions climbing along with house prices, but the speed at which properties are selling is extremely fast. Just 41 days to sell a home is close to an all-time best and means that at some extremes, listings have been selling before the ink is dry on the sales particulars.

“Certainly, in the West Midlands, we’re seeing contracts agreed within a week of listing and although it’s unclear as to how much longer the market can perform at this rate, there’s certainly no sign of it letting up anytime soon.”

Matthew Cooper, Founder & Managing Director of Yes Homebuyers, comments: “Property stock is evaporating at an alarming rate due to huge levels of buyer demand and this severe imbalance is causing an artificial property price boom. Great for sellers who can justify overpricing their home but not so great for the wider market that is already groaning under the pressure.”

House price growth begins to slow in latest government House Price Index

The latest government UK House Price Index reports that average house prices have increased by 8.9% over the year to April 2021. This is down from 9.9% in March 2021.

The highlights of the report also include:

  • The average price of a UK property in April 2021 was £250,772
  • At the country level, the largest annual house price growth in the year to April 2021 was recorded in Wales, where house prices increased by 15.6%
  • Scotland saw house prices increase by 6.3% in the year to April 2021
  • England saw house prices increase by 8.9% in the year to April 2021
  • Northern Ireland saw house prices increase by 6.0% over the year to Q1 (January to March) 2021

Ged McPartlin, Managing Director of Ascend Properties, comments: “Despite a cooling in the monthly rate of house price growth the northern property powerhouse continues to steam ahead, registering some extremely impressive gains on an annual basis.

“This should continue for the remainder of the year, albeit at a less ferocious rate once a Stamp Duty saving is no longer on the cards, as buyers continue to take advantage of low mortgage rates and the newly available 95% mortgage.”

James Forrester, Managing Director of Barrows and Forrester, comments: “There’s no doubt that this monthly decline in house price growth is the markets lagged response to the original Stamp Duty deadline, as buyers and sellers renegotiated terms under the impression a saving was no longer on the table.

“However, it’s far from the market cliff edge that many naysayers had predicted and so it’s fair to say we can put any fears of a market crash in the wake of the extended deadlines to bed.”

Marc von Grundherr, Director of Benham and Reeves, comments: “London has been slowly simmering in comparison to the rest of the UK market having been hit hardest by pandemic uncertainty and a reduction in foreign homebuyer demand, in particular.

“However, the tide is slowly starting to turn and while there’s a very real chance that the wider UK market will come off the boil by the end of the year, London will continue to bubble.”

Matthew Cooper, Founder & Managing Director of Yes Homebuyers, comments: “Almost a full house of regional monthly house price declines in the wake of the original Stamp Duty holiday deadline gives a good indication of what awaits the market at the backend of this year.

“A correction is on the way and we can expect to see a weary market start to show signs of house price fatigue as early as next month, following the initial wind down of the Stamp Duty holiday.”

Andy Sommerville, Director at Search Acumen, comments: “This latest data indicates the new build premium shows no signs of abating.

“This is despite the monthly drop off, which is likely due to an inflation of March’s growth as people rushed to meet the first anticipated Stamp Duty deadline. Demand in April continued to outstrip the availability of housing stock, contributing to one of the biggest gaps seen in years between the price of new builds and existing properties.

“Our national housing supply squeeze looks set to continue for the foreseeable future, pushing up prices further still. The beneficiaries on the building side are the developers of homes with access to gardens, given that working from home and more flexible working practices are likely to continue in the coming months, driving people to move into bigger homes with access to green space.

“The Stamp Duty stampede is piling pressure onto property professionals who are charged with helping new buyers access homes as quickly as possible. Too often, lawyers are seen as those slowing down the moving process, but many are handicapped by legacy practices that weren’t designed for current volumes of demand or with modern consumer needs in mind. Data can provide an antidote to smooth transaction processes, so lawyers can better advise prospective buyers on the risks involved in their purchase at an earlier stage and clear the path towards completion.”

Nicky Stevenson, Managing Director at national estate agent group Fine & Country, comments: “If there’s anything that underlines changing property shopping habits, it’s the eye-watering growth rate recorded in the North East. It has eclipsed all regions bar Wales, which is another favourite destination for those escaping to the country. A leap of 16.9% in 12 months is staggering.

“By next year we’ll be looking back at a figure like this with some awe but the way the market cools from this point doesn’t have to match the rally for excitement.

“If the government’s financial support packages have worked, and employment prospects remain strong, then a gentle long tail that avoids outright falls in prices over the medium term is still likely as we head towards the end of the year and into 2022.

“It’s worth noting that the annual growth readout for the previous month of March has also been revised down, which means it didn’t actually exceed the psychologically important 10% level after all. That said, the market is still overheating, despite a slight softening in the shadow of the original Stamp Duty holiday deadline.”

Lucy Pendleton, property expert at independent estate agents James Pendleton, comments: “We’re getting so used to growth rates this high that it’s easy to forget that they are actually as rare as hen’s teeth. First-time buyers will be hoping this star fades fast, and fade it must because the market is punching the top of the dial by historic standards.

“A dose of economic reality is going to start featuring in our lives over the next few months in a way that has been largely absent since early last year. The patient is going to be slowly weaned off the government support that has masked the brutal ructions that would otherwise have played havoc with jobs, house prices and the economy.

“That all begins at the end of the month with the tapering of not just Stamp Duty relief but the furlough scheme too. As it becomes clear how bullet proof the jobs market really is, we’ll get a better understanding of how the economy — on the cusp of fully unlocking — will endure this return to fiscal normality.

“London remains at the back of the pack but started from a higher base and could yet surprise with relatively strong growth as people start returning to the capital in greater numbers. London is likely to be more immune from any slowdown in growth later this year, as it hasn’t been performing the same kinds of heroics seen in other regions.”

Transport links still adding value to London house prices despite pandemic

Published On: June 11, 2021 at 8:03 am

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There is a £46,800 premium in London for property 500m from the nearest station, compared to a similar property 1,500m (1.5km) away, research from Nationwide shows.

London has seen its house price premium increase to 9.7% from 8.6% in 2019/20. Comparatively, Manchester has seen a drop to 6.1% from 9.0% in the same period.

Glasgow has seen the biggest increase in premium at 7.2%, up from 3.5% in 2019/20.

Andrew Harvey, Nationwide’s Senior Economist, comments: “We’ve analysed how the proximity to either a metro or railway station has impacted property prices in London, Manchester and Glasgow, after taking account of other property characteristics, such as type, number of bedrooms and local neighbourhood. This latest report is an update of the feature we published in 2019 (available to view online). Our analysis is based on transactions in the period April 2020 to March 2021, and which should therefore incorporate any shifts in housing preferences as a result of the pandemic.

“London homebuyers still appear willing to pay a significant premium for being close to a station compared with those in Glasgow and Greater Manchester. This probably reflects the greater reliance on public transport in the capital, with residents less likely to drive.

“The pandemic does not appear to have reduced the desirability of being close to a station in London, despite reduced public transport usage. Indeed, our analysis suggests the premium has actually increased slightly compared with pre-pandemic levels.

“We’ve also seen a noticeable increase in the premium to be located close to a station in the Greater Glasgow area, but in Greater Manchester, homebuyers appear to be placing a little less value on being close to a rail or tram stop compared to before the pandemic.”

Londoners still pay a significant premium to live near a tube or train station

Harvey continues: “Our research indicates that homebuyers in the capital continue to pay a significant premium to be close to a station. A property located 500m from a station attracts a 9.7% price premium (approximately £46,800 based on average prices in London) over an otherwise identical property 1,500m from a station. 

“The illustration in the attached shows the price premium for similar properties at various distances from a tube or railway station (relative to a property 1,500m away). As you might expect, the premium buyers are willing to pay increases as you move closer towards a station. A property located 1,000m away commands a 4.3% premium, at 750m this increases to 6.8%, while a property 500m from a station attracts a 9.7% premium.

“Our analysis suggests that there has actually been a slight increase in station premiums in London compared with pre-pandemic levels. In 2019-20, a property located 500m from a station attracted an 8.6% premium over a comparable property 1,500m from a station.

“It would appear that those buying in the capital continue to value accessibility to rail and tube links. And while public transport utilisation remains well below pre-pandemic levels, TfL reports that the re-opening of shops, pubs and restaurants has helped boost Tube usage.”

Which line is associated with the highest house prices?

Harvey comments: “The Circle line serves the capital’s most expensive areas taking in much of central London and also parts of west London.  Average house prices are around £850,000 in areas where the nearest station is on the Circle line. 

“Of all the London Underground lines, average house prices are least expensive where the nearest station is on the Metropolitan line.  This probably reflects that it stretches towards the outer suburbs, with only a short section in central London.

“The lowest average house prices amongst TfL served routes are currently found where the nearest station is operated by TfL Rail, ahead of the introduction of Crossrail services. TfL currently runs services from Liverpool Street to Harold Wood (and onward to Shenfield in Essex) and from Paddington to Heathrow Airport (via Ealing) and also to West Drayton (and onward towards Reading in Berkshire).

“The lower prices for TfL Rail may reflect that most of these stations are outside of central London and that delivery of the Crossrail project remains behind schedule.”

Increase in premium for rail links in Glasgow

Harvey comments: “Glasgow has the largest network of suburban railway lines in the UK outside of London. Within the Greater Glasgow area there are around 155 railway stations with a further 15 subway stations in Glasgow city centre. 

“Interestingly, it appears that homebuyers are now willing to pay a greater premium to be close to a railway or subway station compared with the pre-pandemic period.

“Our research suggests homebuyers in 2020-21 paid a 7.2% price premium (approximately £11,400 based on average prices in the region) over an otherwise identical property 1,500m from a station. This compares with a 3.5% (£5,200) premium based on those buying in 2019-20.

“It is perhaps surprising that the premium for transport links in Scotland’s largest city has increased despite the reduction in public transport usage. But it would appear to suggest that those who are buying do still value these links and expect to use them again in the future.

“Indeed, pre-pandemic, Glasgow and the surrounding area saw a much higher proportion of people using trains to travel to work than other parts of Scotland.

“The districts best served by the network include Glasgow City, Inverclyde and West Dunbartonshire, where around 90% of properties are within 1.5km of a station. Both the latter contain many of Glasgow’s commuter towns and villages and are well connected by the main railway lines skirting the River Clyde.

Tram & rail links in Greater Manchester attract premium amongst homebuyers

Harvey comments: “Greater Manchester is served by an extensive network of railway and tram lines. Recent years have seen a further expansion of the Metrolink network to Manchester Airport and the opening of the ‘Second City Crossing’ and most recently the Trafford Park line.

“Our research suggests that while homebuyers are still willing to pay a premium to be close to either a Metrolink or railway station, this has fallen since the onset of the pandemic.

“A property located 500m from a station attracts a 6.1% price premium (approximately £11,000 based on average prices in the region) over an otherwise identical property 1,500m away.

“Our analysis suggests this has fallen from pre-pandemic levels when the premium was as high as 9.0% (based on transactions in 2019-20). While we can’t be certain why the premium has fallen, it is possible that priorities for homebuyers in the Greater Manchester area have changed during the pandemic, with a greater emphasis placed on things like local amenities and access to outdoor space.”