Posts with tag: house price rises

Property Prices Rise Due to Lack of Supply

Published On: May 15, 2015 at 9:50 am

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The greatest lack of supply of homes for sale in the UK in almost six years has fuelled property price increases in the past month, found new research.

The Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) revealed that every region of the UK has experienced price rises, and that one cause of this could have been uncertainty ahead of the general election. However, the organisation believes there are “deeper underlying problems” regarding the shortage.

In its survey of members, the RICS discovered that a net balance of -21% reported a drop in new instructions and 33% more surveyors saw price increases in April, up from 22% in March.

Additionally, the balance of those studied that reported price growth was positive in every UK region for the first time since August 2014, as prices in London rose again after being stable for a few months.

28% more surveyors witnessed prices in London increase, compared with 6% more in March who saw prices drop. With fewer homes up for sale, agreed purchases were at -3%.

Property Prices Rise Due to Lack of Supply

Property Prices Rise Due to Lack of Supply

The RICS report expects house prices to increase by 2.7% around the UK in the next year, as 72% of respondents predict price rises.

This data will add pressure onto the Conservative Government, which has the task of building more homes. April’s decline in new instructions was the sharpest since May 2009.

Head of Policy at RICS, Jeremy Blackburn, says that the affordability and availability of properties in the UK is now a “national emergency” and the Government need to make it an urgent issue.

“The last time we were building 300,000 homes was in 1963 under Harold Macmillan’s Conservative government, which utilised both public and private building,”1 Blackburn notes.

Private developer construction is now below the long-term average, however, local authority house building is the main problem causing a shortage of homes.

Before the election result was revealed, Chief Economist at RICS, Simon Rubinsohn, commented: “It is conceivable that the decisive outcome to the election could encourage a pick-up in instructions to agents and ease some of the recent upward pressure on house prices, but it is doubtful that this will be substantive enough to provide anything more than temporary relief.

“Alongside an increased flow of second hand stock, it is absolutely critical that the new government focuses on measures to boost the flow of new build.”1 

Furthermore, surveyors are expecting rents to continue increasing, as tenant demand grew in all UK regions in the three months to April, found RICS. Its report predicts rents will rise by around 5% every year for the next five years.

The report claims: “The downward trend in owner-occupation rates across the country is a visible sign that affordability constraints bite ever deeper, as does the squeeze on household budgets from higher rents.”1 

The report reflects recent research from mortgage provider Halifax, which reported a 1.6% increase in property prices in April. The bank also stated the rise is due to the lack of supply of homes for sale.

The average house price in Britain was a record high of £196,412 in April, up £3,084 from March, when prices grew by a slower monthly rate of 0.6%.

Property price growth has steadied since the second half of 2014, however prices were 8.5% higher than last year in the three months to April. This was 8.1% in the three months to March, Halifax found.

However, high-end estate agents expect prices to increase even further, after wealthy buyers returned to the housing market after the election.

1 http://www.thisismoney.co.uk/money/mortgageshome/article-3080058/Surveyors-report-biggest-shortage-homes-sale-nearly-six-years-pushing-house-prices-higher.html

 

 

 

House Price Sentiment Not Affected by General Election

Published On: April 27, 2015 at 10:30 am

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Categories: Landlord News

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Households believe that the price of their home increased in April, despite the uncertainty caused by the general election, according to the latest sentiment index.

20.9% of the 1,500 households surveyed said that the value of their property had grown over the last month, and 4.5% reported a decrease, found the House Price Sentiment Index (HPSI) by Knight Frank and Markit Economics.1 

These figures gave a HPSI reading of 58.2, making April the 25th consecutive month that the reading is over 50. It is also a slight rise on March’s 57.5 reading. This means that house prices may still be increasing despite the unknown outcome of the election.1 

House Price Sentiment Not Affected by General Election

House Price Sentiment Not Affected by General Election

Head of UK Residential Research at Knight Frank, Grainne Gilmore, says: “The outcome of the election may be uncertain, but there are some key factors underpinning house prices at present. Confidence in the economy continues to grow while the cost of living has stopped rising.

“Mortgage rates have dipped to a new low, making owning a home for those who can clinch a mortgage deal cheaper than at any time before. The cost of buying a home for the majority of purchasers has also fallen after the reform of Stamp Duty in December last year. A lack of supply of homes for sale in recent months has also boosted prices.”1 

The future HPSI determines what households think will happen to the price of their home in the next year. This also rose to 70.2 in April, up from 69.6 in March. It is the highest reading of 2015 so far.1

Senior Economist at Markit, Tim Moore, says that the property market has shown strength approaching the general election, with April’s data emphasizing the first back-to-back monthly increase in house price sentiment for almost a year.

Moore explains: “Reduced pressure on household finances, improving labour market conditions and low mortgage rates continued to support house price sentiment in April. However, stretched affordability and tighter lending conditions are keeping a lid on house price momentum.”1

Regionally, people in the East of England are the most likely to expect property price rises in the next year, followed by households in the South East. The gap between national house price growth predictions and London price expectations dropped to the joint lowest level since the start of 2011.1

It has also been revealed that 6.5% of households plan to buy a home in the next 12 months, up from 5.7% in March. Around the UK, one in ten households in Wales plan to buy in the next year, followed by 9.5% in the East of England.1

Those aged between 25-34 and more likely to hope to buy a house in the near future, with 9.3% of individuals in this age range planning to buy a property in the next year. Just 3.1% of respondents aged 55 and over plan to purchase.1

1 http://www.propertywire.com/news/europe/uk-home-owners-sentiment-2015042710435.html

 

 

Predictions and Forecasts for the Rental Market

Published On: August 31, 2012 at 5:14 pm

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Categories: Finance News

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Recent reports have provided extremely welcome reading for buy-to-let investors. Indications suggest that due to increasing rents, recovering property prices and low interest rates, investors can expect profitable returns on their investment during the next 13 years.

Just what does the future hold for the buy-to-let sector?

Rent hike

Statistics from the Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) indicate that rental prices have risen by 4.3% over the previous 12 months.[1] RICS believe that this is due to the fact that mortgages for potential homeowners are still difficult to achieve.

In addition, RICS predict a 3.9% increase in rent prices over the next year, believing that demand for rental accommodation will climb, with supply remaining even.[1]

Indications also suggest a regional differentiation in rent prices. For example, rental prices rose by almost 7% within the North West of England during the last 12 months.

Predictions and Forecasts for the Rental Market

Predictions and Forecasts for the Rental Market

 

Rental price hikes are worrying a number of industry figures. Peter Bolton King, Global Residential Director at RICS stated: “While tenant interest is still riding high, what remains to be seen is whether many are willing to meet the increasing rents being demanded by landlords.”[1]

Bolton King went on to say: “It is clear we have seen rents grow steadily right across the UK for some time. This is partly down to the problem of the scarcity of mortgage finance and the large deposits required by lenders.”[1]

Future estimates

Industry forecasts for the future of rental and property markets predict a 2% increase in house prices until the year 2025. Forecasters suggest that there will be a marked shortage in supply of privately rented accommodation, when demand returns to its pre-recession level at the back end of this decade.[1]

It does however seem to be the premium time for landlords to extend their existing portfolios. With house prices rising, landlords able to extend in the present climate could reap the rewards in future years.

However, John Hawskworth, Chief Economist with PricewaterhouseCoopers, urges caution: “Housing is a potentially risky asset as recent experience makes all too clear.”[1]

[1] http://www.landlordexpert.co.uk/2012/08/31/the-rental-market-predictions-and-forecasts/