Posts with tag: house price growth

Property sales in England and Wales up 13% in July

Published On: August 13, 2015 at 11:10 am

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Sales of property in England and Wales grew by 13% during July, according to new figures.

The latest LSL price index shows that house prices also increased by 0.3% in comparison to June, which took the average price of a property to £279,515.[1]

Rises

Annually, the index shows that prices have risen by 3.7%, rising to 4% if data including London and the South is excluded. In addition, the report indicates that house prices rose in six regions over the year. East Anglia led the way, recording a yearly rise of 6.3%.[1]

By specific town and city, Reading came in top of the list, with prices rising by 15.2% over the last 12 months. LSL believe that this is due to it being on the route of the fresh London Cross Rail project.[1]

Additionally, 27% of local authority areas in England have seen property prices surge to record high levels. These areas include Warrington, the West Midlands, Milton Keynes, Bristol and Devon. This means that England and Wales have seen the strongest July for home sales since 2007.[1]

Property sales in England and Wales up 13% in July

Property sales in England and Wales up 13% in July

Capital falls

In terms in yearly rises, London has slipped to eighth in the top ten regions that recorded a growth in property prices. The capital ranks only above the North and Wales in the list and Richard Sexton, director of e.surv chartered surveyors believes that the downturn in lowering the average growth figures across England and Wales as a whole.

‘London has been stalled by more aggressive graduated Stamp Duty and taxation levied at the highest rungs of the property market, plus the rising value of Sterling compared to the Euro,’ Sexton explained.[1]

Data from the index also shows that in the most expensive boroughs in London, Kensington and Chelse and Westminster, sales during the second quarter of the year were down 33% and 31% respectively year-on-year. However, signs of an upturn are apparent, with monthly rises of 2.3% in Kensington and Chelsea and 2.1% in Westminster.[1]

Mr Sexton said, ‘overall homes sales reached 90,000 in July, a boost of 13% from the previous month. This marks the first time this year that sales levels have overtaken the equivalent month in 2014 and is actually the strongest July since 2007, when the market was building up to its pre-crisis peak.’ He went on to say that, ‘sales were 35% higher then, standing at 120,845 in July 2007.’[1]

[1] http://www.propertywire.com/news/europe/england-wales-house-prices-2015081310859.html

 

 

House Prices Fell in July

Published On: August 7, 2015 at 1:01 pm

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House Prices Fell in July

House Prices Fell in July

House prices fell by 0.6% in July, according to the Halifax.

The average UK house price is now £198,883 on a seasonally adjusted basis, down from £200,280 in June.

This takes annual house price inflation down to 7.9%.

Managing Director of Retail Customer Products at the Halifax, Stephen Noakes, says: “The underlying pace of house price growth remains robust notwithstanding the easing in July.

“Continuing economic recovery, earnings growth in excess of consumer price inflation and very low mortgage rates all underpin housing demand.

“Supply is highly restricted, with the stock of homes available for sale falling further to new record lows.

“This combination of well-supported demand and tight supply is likely to ensure that house price growth remains relatively strong in the near term.”1

1 http://www.propertyindustryeye.com/house-prices-topple-but-still-average-almost-200000/

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

House Prices Rise in July as Stamp Duty Falls

Published On: August 5, 2015 at 10:54 am

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House prices in the UK rose by 0.4% in July, to a record high of £195,621, according to Nationwide.

The building society calculates that homebuyers paid a total of £275m less in tax in the first half of the year, due to changes to Stamp Duty in December 2014.

After a drop in June, when the annual rate of price inflation fell to a two-year low, July’s increase pushed it up to 3.5%. Nationwide’s Chief Economist, Robert Gardner, says that this is close to the historic pace of earnings growth.

He explains: “After moderating over the past 12 months, there are tentative signs that annual house price growth may be stabilising close to the pace of earnings growth, which has historically been around 4%.

“This would bode well for a sustainable increase in housing market activity, though whether this will be maintained will depend of whether building activity can keep pace with increasing demand.”

The figures are based on mortgages approved by the society during July. They show that the annual rate of growth was around a third of the 10.6% reported in July 2014. Meanwhile, the three-month rate of growth has decreased from 2.4% to 0.9%.

House Prices Rise in July as Stamp Duty Falls

House Prices Rise in July as Stamp Duty Falls

July’s monthly growth follows a rise in activity after the general election, with mortgage lending bouncing back in June after falling in the winter months. However, the amount of hopeful vendors has hit a record low, meaning some buyers are facing fierce competition.

Gardner continues: “It remains unclear whether activity on the supply side will catch up with demand.

“The number of new homes under construction has started to pick up, albeit from historically low levels, and further increases are required if a sustainable recovery in the housing market is to be maintained over the longer term.”

The Nationwide believes that changes to Stamp Duty mean that around 235,000 homebuyers in England and Wales have paid less tax, saving an average of £1,800 each.

It adds that the removal of the tier system, where the tax is a flat percentage of the price paid for a property, has cut the amount of homes gathered around the price thresholds for different rates.

Before the reform, many homes were prices at just under £125,000, when the 1% rate began, at just below £250,000, when the rate changed from 1% to 3%, and just under £500,000, when the rate rose to 4%.

Gardner says that buyers in the south, where prices are typically higher, have benefitted the most. Around 85% of transactions in London, the South West and South East have seen Stamp Duty drop, compared with 55% in the north.

However, Nationwide has found that buyers in the prime market are paying significantly more.

Gardner claims: “We estimate that around 5,000 (2%) of purchasers paid more – two-thirds of whom were in London – with an average of £28,000 more tax being paid compared with the old system.”1

Managing Director of buying agents Garrington Property Finders, Jonathan Hopper, says that house price growth has “clicked back into gear.”

He adds: “With no sign of a summer lull yet, surging levels of buyers and a limited number of sellers have combined to drive up prices in much of the market.”

However, he says that the prime market is still “reeling” from the increase in the top rate of Stamp Duty, which has risen massively for homes costing £2m and over.

“The Stamp Duty hike was supposed to gently apply the brakes to stop the prime property market racing away,” he states. “But in the event its effect has been more of an emergency stop.”1

1 http://www.theguardian.com/business/2015/aug/04/uk-house-prices-up-july-stamp-duty-revenue-falls

North East house prices to double by 2030

Published On: July 29, 2015 at 4:32 pm

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Forecasts released today by lettings firm KIS suggest property prices in the North East of England will rise by nearly double during the next fifteen years.

Predictions

According to the predictions, the average price of a home in the North East will rise to £277,558 by 2030-nearly double the cost of a property in the area today. Data suggests that the value of homes in the area will increase by an average of £76660 per year over the fifteen-year period, with year-on-year growth at 2.6%.[1]

If the forecasts are accurate, in five years, the cost of an average North East home will be £187,344, 14% more than today. In ten years, homes in the region will cost £229,655.[1]

Experts suggest that nationally, house values will rise at an increased rate of 19% to £341,455 by 2020 and 35% to £429,259 by 2025. National trends have seen prices accelerate further away from the North East over the past decade. In 2005, the average property price of a home in the North East was 30% cheaper than the national average. Now, that number has risen to 42%, with the gap expected to rise to 49% over the next fifteen years.[1]

Alarmingly, research from Oxford Economics earlier this year also predicted that the average cost of a home in the capital will exceed £1m by 2030.

North East house prices to double by 2030

North East house prices to double by 2030

Good news?

Ajay Jagota, founder and Managing Director of KIS, said, ‘if anything, these figures could be a little on the conservative side. Oxford Economics are predicting annual house price growth of roughly 2.6% a year over the next 15 years-but our research showed prices rising by 11% alone last year.’[1]

However, Jagota believes if the data is accurate, ‘this could be very good news for the North East. Wages are currently rising at 2.7% a year, so if house prices are rising at a slightly lower rate, that would see North East homes becoming progressively more affordable over the next 15 years.’

He went on to note, ‘what’s really striking is how national prices are accelerating away from us. In 1995, the typical North East home cost £19,000 less than the UK average. Today it costs £115,000 less. By 2030, the gulf will have widened to £260,000.’[1]

‘By 2030, the average London home will not only set you back over £1,000,000, it’ll cost you over £700,000 more than the average North East one.

If London wages can’t keep up with that surge, it is more than possible the North East could benefit from a ‘reverse brain drain’, where more and more people and businesses are unable to afford to base themselves in the capital and begin to look towards our region.’[1]

Concluding, Mr Jagota said, ‘this strengthens the case for increased devolution for the region, especially if it includes greater powers to develop our regional economy and infrastructure and to develop new housing to meet the growing need.’[1]

[1] http://www.propertyreporter.co.uk/property/north-east-house-prices-to-double-by-2030.html

 

Home values rise by £7k in first half of year

Published On: July 22, 2015 at 11:46 am

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New data from Zoopla indicates that house prices across Britain increased by nearly £7,000 during the opening six months of the year. This rise was equivalent to 2.7%.

At the start of July, the average UK property price stood at £270,674, which was up by £6,974 on £263,699 recorded at the beginning of 2015.[1]

Rates

Research from Zoopla suggests that all regions of the UK experienced some property value growth in the first half of the year, albeit at different rates. Scotland recorded the highest rate of growth, with property values increasing by 6.6%. The average value of a home north of the border is now £183,230.[1]

The next best performing areas were the North West and North East of England, where prices rose by 3.1% and 3% respectively. However, Wales was the worst performer, with an average property price rise of just 1% over the period.[1]

When looking at the top 50 largest cities in Britain, Scotland again performed well, with Edinburgh recording the largest price growth of 8.2%, representing a £20,465 increase of a property price in the city. Aberdeen came in third with a 6.4% rise over the six months, behind Colchester with 7.6%.[1]

Home values rise by £7k in first half of year

Home values rise by £7k in first half of year

Recovery

Lawrence Hall of Zoopla said, ‘while national property price growth saw a slow start to the first half of the year, it recovered strongly towards the end of the period.’ He feels that, ‘the strong regional figures across the board indicate an economy which is returning to health, with a series of Government incentives designed to encourage home-buying helping to boost demand for property in all parts of Britain.’[1]

Hall believes that, ‘the real winner here is Scotland. The surge in property values can, in part, be explained as a post-referendum bounce, as businesses a capital flood back to Scotland, after withholding investment during the volatile September referendum period.’[1]

Concluding, Mr Hall stated, ‘a post-General Election feel-good factor must not be discounted as more devolution promised has given property prices a bounce as Scots anticipate more jobs and investment coming their way.’[1]

[1] http://www.propertyreporter.co.uk/property/average-home-values-rise-by-7k-during-h1.html

 

House Prices to Rise by Another 5% in 2015

Published On: July 21, 2015 at 6:02 pm

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House prices could increase by almost 5% over the rest of the year, as property values are being driven by a shortage of homes on the market, according to an economic think tank.

The Centre for Economics and Business Research (Cebr) has tripled its property price predictions for 2015, from 1.5% to 4.7%.

The organisation says that a “chronic lack of properties being put up for sale” has pushed prices up in the last few months, which has caused this revision.

House Prices to Rise by Another 5% in 2015

House Prices to Rise by Another 5% in 2015

If its forecast is correct, the average UK home will be worth a record £249,000 at the end of 2015.

Cebr says that although the London housing market was a key factor in overall growth in 2014, it expects the capital to underperform the rest of the country this year, with prices predicted to increase by just 3.7%.

It says that despite the Conservative’s general election win removing the threat of a mansion tax, the prime London market has been affected by last year’s Stamp Duty reform.

As the amount of new homes being built is continuing to fall behind the level needed to keep pace with housing demand, Cebr predicts that house prices will rise by a further 3.4% in 2016 and 4.4% in 2017.

Cebr expects the average house price to be £307,600 by the end of the current Parliament in 2020. This would be a 23.6% increase.

It also says that although the Bank of England (BoE) is planning to increase interest rates at the end of this year, the cost of borrowing will rise gradually and settle at around 2%, still much lower than before the recession.

The combination of a lack of supply, earnings growth and low interest rates is expected to support house prices.

Cebr economist, Nina Skero, says: “With the possibility of higher taxation on prime property and intervention in the rental market less likely, the Conservative Party’s victory in the general election will likely support stronger price growth in the second half of 2015.

“Prices will also see a boost from the lack of fresh properties coming on the market.

“In London, average house prices are being weighed down by the prime end of the market. A strong pound, which makes London property less affordable for foreign buyers, and December’s decision to increase Stamp Duty on properties valued above £1.1m are both deterring some prospective buyers.”1

The current average house price is £270,702, according to Zoopla.

1 http://www.zoopla.co.uk/discover/property-news/house-prices-to-rise-by-5/?utm_content=bufferf7be6&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_campaign=buffer#ETe7OswqaYgp7X3F.97