Posts with tag: Capital Economics

Scrapping Stamp Duty for landlords could bring £10 billion boost

Published On: March 15, 2022 at 1:00 pm

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Categories: Landlord News,Property News

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Scrapping the Stamp Duty levy on the purchase of homes to rent out could lead to a £10 billion boost for the Government, according to a new analysis.

The analysis by economic consultancy Capital Economics finds that removing the 3% levy would see almost 900,000 new private rented homes made available across the UK over the next ten years.

Due to increases in income and corporation tax receipts, the modelling suggests this would lead to a £10 billion boost to Treasury revenue over the same period. Capital Economics also notes that these revenue streams would continue over the decades that follow if the landlords do not later sell the properties.

The National Residential Landlords Association (NRLA), which commissioned the research, calls on the Chancellor to adopt this proposal amidst a chronic shortage of homes to rent.

Capital Economics warns if owner occupation and social housing continue at their ten-year average rate of growth, this would require a significant increase in the supply of private rented homes. Almost 230,000 new homes would be needed in the sector each year if government ambitions for housing over the next decade are to be met.

It argues that even if other housing tenures double their rate of growth, over 100,000 new private rental homes a year will still be needed over the same period.

Capital Economics says given that renting privately is the first housing tenure most young people enter when they leave home or university, demand will only increase as the 15-24 cohort in the population is forecast to grow between now and 2030 by 866,000 (11%).

It suggests that without changes in tax or other policies, the private rented sector stock will decrease further by over half a million properties over the next ten years.

Ben Beadle, Chief Executive of the NRLA, comments: “The Government needs to wake up to a crisis of its own making. Taxing landlords out of the market serves only to cut supply, increase rents and make home ownership more difficult to afford.

“The evidence clearly shows that the supply of rented housing is declining as demand increases and will continue to do so. The Government is taking a blinkered approach to the issue, which is not helped by its reluctance to admit mistakes it has made in the past. “It makes no sense to tax the supply of new homes supplied by landlords investing in new build or bringing empty homes back into use. As this study indicates, removing the tax will actually generate more revenue, not less.”

Almost 85,000 new homes a year needed for London private rented sector

Published On: March 9, 2022 at 9:15 am

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London needs almost 85,000 new private rented homes a year to meet its housing needs, a new report has found.

The report has been authored by economics consultancy Capital Economics and commissioned by the National Residential Landlords Association (NRLA). It reveals the stark shortage in the supply of rented homes across London. These conclusions are based on government targets which state that 340,000 homes a year must be built across the UK by the middle of this decade to meet future demand.

Capital Economics reports if owner-occupied and social rented homes in the UK continue at their ten-year average rate of growth, private rented sector supply would have to increase by 227,000 properties per year to meet government targets.

It says growth on this level is also needed if supply is to meet the needs of an anticipated 1.8 million new households over the next ten years. In the case of London, the capital would require approximately 83,000 new rental properties a year over the next decade.

The projections come as government figures show that the supply of private rented housing in London has fallen by 85,000 over the past five years.

Given that renting privately is often the first step young people take when they need to leave home or university, demand will only increase.  The 15-24 cohort in London is forecast to grow between now and 2030 by over 120,000 (almost 12%).

Additional survey data by the research consultancy BVA-BDRC suggests that in Central London 74% of private landlords saw an increase in the demand for rental homes in Q4 2021. This was up from the 54% figure revealed by BVA/BDRC’s Q3 2021 research.

Capital Economics says the Treasury needs to encourage investment in the sector to meet housing targets. It argues greater investment would support the provision of new housing, increasing the rate of new builds and switching commercial property to residential use. The report also points to the contribution the sector can make in moving stock from short term to long term lets and bringing empty homes back into use.

Ben Beadle, Chief Executive of the NRLA, comments: “As the demand for private rental properties picks up following the pandemic, renters across the capital will struggle to find the homes they need and want. For all the efforts to support homeownership, the private rented sector has a vital role to play in housing so many Londoners.

“Today’s analysis demonstrates the folly of the mayor’s calls for rent controls in the capital, a policy which would serve only to freeze investment in the very homes renters need.”