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Nationwide’s Price Index Changes to Reflect More Automated Valuations

Published On: July 7, 2015 at 9:26 am

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Nationwide is changing the methodology used to compile its house price index from next month, with more reliance being placed on data submitted by mortgage applicants.

Nationwide's Price Index Changes to Reflect More Automated Valuations

Nationwide’s Price Index Changes to Reflect More Automated Valuations

This is due to Nationwide no longer conducting physical valuations of some properties for which it is considering offering mortgage loans.

The small print of its latest house price index, released last week, details the change: “We will continue to follow the same type of statistical approach (known as ‘hedonic regression’) to calculate house prices.

“However, as a result of planned changes to our mortgage application process we may no longer commission physical mortgage valuation reports for all cases and so in future will source more information from customer application data.

“As we may not have complete or consistent information for a number of property attributes (floor area, type of garage and number of bathrooms), these variables will no longer be used in the index.”1

The new methodology will still respect the old house price indices produced by Nationwide, although the index says that there will be some joining factors – small changes in data – which will be conducted to allow historical comparisons.

In the future, Nationwide will still produce monthly UK house price data and a regional breakdown every quarter. The data will include a broad analysis of prices across all properties and prices relating to two types of mover: first time buyers and owner-occupiers.

Nationwide will also publish quarterly figures based on different property types, and on new and existing homes.

1 https://www.estateagenttoday.co.uk/breaking-news/2015/7/nationwide-changes-price-index-to-reflect-more-automated-valuations

Demand for homes rises in Q2 of 2015

Published On: July 6, 2015 at 9:15 am

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Demand for homes within Britain rose again during the second quarter of 2015, according to data from online estate agent eMoov.

Results from the survey indicate that prices in London commuter areas saw a particular rise. Encouragingly, prices in some parts of the North of England also increased.

Northern surge

The greatest rise in property demand in the North was recorded in North Tyneside, where numbers rose by 62%. Other notable increases in demand were present in Sunderland and in South Lanarkshire in Scotland, where demand rose by 32% and 29% respectively.[1]

Staying in Scotland, Fife recorded a rise of 22%, a figure matched by Highland.[1]

Slides

Despite the warm weather, some regions have been particularly cold on the property demand front in the second part of the year. Durham has seen demand increase by 12%, a demand fall of 30% annually. However, Ealing in London registered the largest fall during the last period, with a slide of 36%. Oxford was found to be the only commuter area to see a decrease in demand, with interest down by 8%.[1]

Annual figures show that Wiltshere, Sefton and Bedfordshire saw the greatest demand rises, of 48%, 45% and 38% respectively. At the bottom of the pile were Calderdale and Westminster with a drop of 58%, Ealing with 47% and Aberdeenshire down 40%.[1]

Demand for homes rises in Q2 of 2015

Demand for homes rises in Q2 of 2015

Confidence

‘The UK property market definitely seems to have experienced a post-election bounce,’ said eMoov’s CEO Russell Quirk. With demand up 9% nationally, people are clearly more confident about buying now that the next five years of government has been decided.’[1]

Quirk went on to say that, ‘it’s interesting to see the demand for commuter zone property continuing to grow. With London demand falling, property owners wanting to see an increase in their property price might want to sell up and head a few miles out of the capital.’[1]

 

[1] http://www.propertywire.com/news/europe/uk-property-demand-data-2015070310705.html

 

Third of Homeowners Can’t Move Up Property Ladder

Published On: July 6, 2015 at 8:56 am

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34% of homeowners in the UK looking to move up the property ladder think that it is too difficult for them to move, according to new research by MoneySuperMarket.

On average, current mortgage holders say they need to save £10,549 before they can move. High house prices and the expense of moving are named as the two main reasons people have not yet moved house.

MoneySuperMarket found that 26% of respondents think it will be difficult to move up the ladder and a further 9% believe it is very difficult.

Among those aged between 35-54-years-old, this rises to 41% who would struggle to upscale and 28% of 18-34-year-olds would find it tough.

Third of Homeowners Can't Move Up Property Ladder

Third of Homeowners Can’t Move Up Property Ladder

Head of Banking at MoneySuperMarket, Kevin Mountford, says: “There was a time when those in the 35-54 age group would have been looking to downsize, but now this is the age group where people are starting a family in some cases or still housing grown up children who are struggling to find their own way.

“Although they might have the earning potential to make that next step, there is the constraint of mortgage terms that comes with their age. Lenders will tend to fix the term of repayments to retirement age, so for those movers aged over 34, the repayments on increased value mortgages will be much higher, as they’re paying it back over a shorter time.

“For example, a £250,000 mortgage on the leading two-year fixed at 1.05% could be taken out by a 30-year-old with a 30-year term and the monthly repayments would be £810. However, for someone aged 45, the same mortgage over a 20-year term would have monthly repayments of £1,155; that’s £345 extra to find each month to make that next move.”

Generally, money is the main reason property owners cannot move, with 47% saying that house prices restrict their movement up the ladder. 43% say they cannot afford the cost of moving.

Current homeowners believe they must save an average of £10,549 to move house, with Londoners expecting to need £12,946. In the North East, this drops to £6,772.

Mountford continues: “Getting a foot on the property ladder in the first place can be hard work, but for many homeowners, it’s just as difficult to take the next step. House prices have rocketed in recent years and tougher borrowing rules have made the search for a mortgage slightly harder.

“It is vital for a healthy housing market that people are able to move up the property ladder, otherwise the whole system can come to a grinding halt, leading to a shortage of property. As a result, second steppers can’t afford to be complacent when it comes to deciding whether to upsize their home. Planning a budget will be crucial, and really taking the time to sit down and work out exactly what costs will be involved is essential.”

Mountford adds: “The good news for those looking to move is that there’s a great deal of competition in the mortgage market at the moment. We’ve seen a huge drop in fixed mortgage rates over the past few years, some with manageable fees. Perks such as free legal costs and free valuations on properties are also offered by some lenders in order to get customers through their doors. As such, there really hasn’t been a better time to get a mortgage.”

Mountford explains that it is important to look at the bigger picture when looking for a new mortgage: “Don’t get lured in by a headline rate, and work out the total cost you have to repay over the term of the offer before agreeing to a deal.

“Also, think about whether you want a fixed or variable rate deal. If you opt for a variable rate mortgage, you need to ensure that you will be able to afford your monthly repayments if and when interest rates do rise, as they won’t stay at this level forever.”1 

1 http://www.propertywire.com/news/europe/uk-home-movers-afford-2015063010687.html

Britons Don’t Admit Breaking Items in the Home

Published On: July 5, 2015 at 12:32 pm

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Two out of five Britons do not take responsibility for breaking an item in the home, revealed new research.

55% would try to repair what they had broken and 40% would buy a replacement without telling anyone, found the study by Direct Line.

Accidental damage is most often blamed on siblings, with over one in five people admitting to blaming a brother or sister. This is followed by partners, who are blamed in 18% of these situations.

Britons Don't Admit Breaking Items in the Home

Britons Don’t Admit Breaking Items in the Home

Meanwhile, women are more likely to blame someone or something, with 22% confessing to this, compared to one in seven men.

But do not be surprised if you have broken something this week, as 1st July typically records a 60% rise in accidental damage claims, compared to the annual average.

Direct Line Home Insurance’s Katie Lomas, says: “Accidents happen and are often unavoidable consequences of our busy lives. However, with ever increasing numbers of expensive gadgets and furniture in homes, this can mean people are faced with hefty costs to fix or replace items.

“If you accidentally spill coffee on your partner’s laptop or your drop your phone down the loo, with the right insurance, you needn’t worry too much.”1

The cost of home insurance is decreasing, with figures reported in the first three months of this year revealing a sharp fall in the average premium quoted on a new policy.

The British Insurance Premium Index found that the average quote for a combined home buildings and contents insurance policy declined by 3.6% (£6) to £158.66. In 12 months, the typical shop-around quote for a combined policy dropped by 9.6%, almost £17.

The shop-around average is calculated by using the five cheapest quotes for each customer in a nationwide selection of risks and based on prices from direct insurers, brokers and price comparison sites.

Research also found that the cost of a buildings policy fell by 3% in the first quarter (Q1) of 2015, to £112.74, equating to 10.1% in a year. The cost of a contents policy decreased by 2.3% to £60.28 in the same time, equivalent to 8.2% in 12 months.

1 http://www.zoopla.co.uk/discover/property-news/home-insurance-needed-as-brits-refuse-to-admit-responsibility-for-broken-items/?utm_content=bufferd97f8&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_campaign=buffer#KwQQLx7q6BAUVylX.97

Property Portal Reports Record Traffic and Unique Visitors

Published On: July 4, 2015 at 2:31 pm

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Online property portal, OnTheMarket, has reported record visits and unique visitors in June, using data from Google Analytics.

In June, the portal recorded 4.4m visitors and over 2m unique visitors.

Ian Springett, Chief Executive of the website, says: “We are continuing to see strong engagement from consumers in terms of pages viewed per visit and time on site, and a high percentage of repeat visitors.

“This reflects both the quality and range of agents and properties listed with us and the usability of the portal.

“Our ongoing multi-million pound national TV, press and online advertising campaigns continue to work really hard at driving active property seekers to OnTheMarket.”1

OnTheMarket statistics for June

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1 http://www.propertyindustryeye.com/onthemarket-reports-record-traffic-and-unique-visitors/

Annual Property Price Growth at Two-Year Low

Published On: July 3, 2015 at 5:06 pm

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The annual rate of property price growth dropped to a two-year low in June, revealed Nationwide.

Annual Property Price Growth at Two-Year Low

Annual Property Price Growth at Two-Year Low

The building society found that annual house price inflation fell to 3.3% last month from 4.6% in May. A year ago, prices were increasing by 11.8%.

Property prices in Wales and Scotland have even fallen in the past year, according to Nationwide.

Between May and June, prices around the UK decreased by 0.2%, making the average UK house price now £195,055.

Nationwide’s Chief Economist, Robert Gardner, says: “House price growth continues to outpace earnings, but the gap is closing, helped by a pick-up in annual wage growth, which moved up to 2.7% in the three months to April from 1.9% at the start of the year.

“The slowdown in house price growth is not confined to, nor does it appear to be driven primarily by, developments in London.”1

Last month, a study by LSL Property Services revealed that prices in parts of central London have declined by up to 22% since last autumn.

Some economists did not expect house price inflation to drop so continuously.

Chief UK and European Economist at IHS Global Insight, Howard Archer, comments: “While we are slightly surprised by June’s dip in house prices, it does not fundamentally change our view that house prices are likely to be firmer over the second half of the year.”1 

Archer still predicts price rises of 6% this year and 5% next year.

Capital Economics’ Matthew Pointon says the monthly price drop does not mean the market is cooling: “On an underlying basis, prices are still rising, and with active housing demand finally recovering, annual house price gains have bottomed out.”1 

Regionally, the area with the fastest price growth is now Northern Ireland, with increases of 8% over the year between the second quarter (Q2) of 2014 and Q2 2015, found Nationwide.

In London, prices rose by 7.3%.

In Scotland, prices dropped by 1% in 12 months and Wales experienced price decreases of 0.8%.

Regional house price changes between Q2 2014-Q2 2015

Region Annual change Average price
Northern Ireland 8% £126,525
London 7.3% £429,711
Outer London 6.8% £315, 620
South East 6% £244,119
East Anglia 5.2% £198,826
East Midlands 4.1% £160,482
South West 3.8% £215,363
West Midlands 3.4% £165,873
Yorkshire and the Humber 3.3% £147,387
North West 1.4% £146,908
North 0.1% £125,189
Wales -0.8% £144,701
Scotland -1% £140,512

However, within these regions, there were large variations between prices in individual cities.

In property hotspots, Reading saw prices rise 13%, Oxford experienced price growth of 12% and in Edinburgh, prices increased by 11%.

Prices fell in areas including Sunderland, at 4% and Nottingham, the Highlands and Islands, and West Yorkshire at 2%.

1 http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-33359468