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Em Morley

Extent of surge in BTL activity in March revealed

Published On: April 11, 2016 at 9:22 am

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New figures from Countrywide have revealed the monetary extent of the surge in buy-to-let investment ahead of the stamp duty surcharge deadline.

The firm said that £28bn worth of sales were completed last month, a rise of 76% in comparison to the previous year.

Increases

Countrywide assessed the entire market and noted that landlords made up 23% of all home sales completed in March. This was compared to 13% at the same period in 2015. What’s more, in the two weeks running up to the deadline, over half of all property transactions were completed by landlords.

This rise in landlord business demonstrates that additional housing is being made available for tenants to rent. 22% more rental properties were on the market in the first quarter of 2016t than in the same period last year, contributing to lower rental growth.

However, this percentage increase in the number of homes to rent has not been followed by the increase in tenants looking for a home, putting increased pressure on rents. The total number of tenants registering their interest in rental property was up 16% in the first three months of 2016, in comparison for the same period in 2015.

Regional Rises

By region, London saw the biggest increase in newly rented properties, with numbers up by 40% on the first quarter twelve months ago. This said, London actually has a lower growth of tenant numbers, up by just 8% in the same period.

As a result, there has been a rapid deceleration in rental price growth, with rents in Greater London growing by 2.9% in March, as opposed to the 7.4% recorded a year ago.

The average rent in the UK increased by 3.4% in the year to March 2016, with rents accelerating quickest in the East of England, rising by 8.5%. This growth was driven by larger numbers of new tenants registering during the first quarter of 2016, with 34% the highest increase seen in any region.

Extent of surge in buy-to-let activity in March revealed

Extent of surge in buy-to-let activity in March revealed

Temporary Effect

Johnny Morris, research director at Countrywide, noted that, ‘quite at odds with the intentions of the policy, the first measurable effect of the introduction of the new stamp duty rate has been to increase the number of homes owned by landlords, although this will likely be a temporary effect as we see reduced investor activity in future months.’[1]

‘The increase in supply of homes to rent from landlords bringing forward purchases seems to have taken the edge off rental growth. A similar increase in tenants looking for a home to rent though would indicate this may not persist. The large number of sharers and people living with parents means there is a big store of pent up demand in the rental market,’ Morris concluded.[2]

[1] https://www.lettingagenttoday.co.uk/breaking-news/2016/4/half-of-homes-sold-in-late-march-were-for-buy-to-let–countrywide

RICS calls for mandatory licensing for agents

Published On: April 8, 2016 at 11:53 am

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The Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors has called for the introduction of a mandatory, legally recognised licensing scheme for all estate agents in Britain.

This call was prompted after anti-money laundering campaigners proposed harder sanctions against estate agents who assist rogues to hide their assets.

Expulsion

Transparency International said that all professional bodies should remove licences from individuals and companies found to be aiding corruption.

However presently, agents do not have to be a member of any professional body and could theoretically continue to practice following expulsion. Currently, The National Trading Standards Estate Agency Team are only allowed to ban estate agents.

In the wake of the leak of millions of documents detailing over 200,000 offshore entities set up by Panama-based law firm Mossack Fonseca, Transparency International has called for stronger action.

‘The Government should establish more effective administrative sanctions on professional enablers by encouraging professional bodies to withdraw licences from those implicated in such cases, in addition to prosecuting those who are personally involved,’ the firm stated.[1]

Risks

Head of advocacy and research for Transparency International, Rachel Davies, said, ‘if corrupt individuals are allowed to continue to buy up luxury property and enjoy life in the UK, then the Government risks its credibility in leading efforts to tackle corruption on the global stage.’[1]

In the wake of a television programme entitled From Russia With Cash, which showed estate agents dealing with an apparent corrupt Russian buyer, the NAEA and RICS called for an investigation into the findings.

RICS calls for mandatory licensing for agents

RICS calls for mandatory licensing for agents

Investigation

Members of both firms were involved in the dealings, with an actor playing the part of the ‘businessman.’ After the calls from Transparency International, a spokesperson for RICS said, ‘RICS demands the highest standards from our members and where those high standards fall short, we will use the full weight of our regulatory powers to take action.’[1]

‘A full and thorough investigation into those named by the From Russia With Cash programme is currently ongoing. While it would be inappropriate to comment on an ongoing case, we will be making a full statement once our investigation has concluded. RICS will always take stringent action against our own members that are found guilty of wrong-doing.’

‘However at this present time, UK estate agents are not legally required to be licensed and many are not members of a professional body. We are calling for the introduction of a mandatory recognised licence for all estate agents,’ the report concluded.[1]

[1] http://www.propertyindustryeye.com/new-call-professional-bodies-counter-money-laundering/

Residential landlords’ actions to change in 2 years?

Published On: April 8, 2016 at 10:56 am

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A leading credit ratings agency has given its forecast for the buy-to-let market in the next two years.

Fitch has forecasted that buy-to-let will continue to grow over the next 24 months. However, the prediction also notes that the effects of the stamp duty increases and mortgage tax relief will cause the sector to cool significantly.

Performance

The agency observes that Britain’s buy-to-let performance has been good in financial terms. Arrears of one month or more stood at 2.43% in January, in comparison to 2.35% for prime transactions. In addition, small void periods and the lack of new housing supply is keeping the sector buoyant.

With this said, the agency warns that the increased stamp duty surcharge and forthcoming tax changes will eventually change landlords’ actions and alter the buy-to-let market.

Residential landlords' actions to change in 2 years?

Residential landlords’ actions to change in 2 years?

Changes

A Fitch report to investors observes, ‘industry surveys suggest that existing landlords are less likely to add new properties when the tax changes take effect, and some may look to sell. Our gross new mortgage lending forecasts for UK incorporate the potential for the announced changes to slow the growth in BTL origination.’[1]

‘Over the longer term, government and regulatory intervention will have a larger impact,’[1] the report continues. This is particularly prevalent should a Bank of England proposal to impose stricter checks on mortgage lenders come into force.

‘The proposal does not set limits on loan-to-value, debt to income, or interest coverage rations (but) if these were adopted, this could make BTL less attractive for landlords if rental yields do not rise sufficiently to offset the impact of such affordability rules,’ the report added.[1]

[1] https://www.lettingagenttoday.co.uk/breaking-news/2016/4/warning-that-buy-to-let-tax-changes-will-damage-sector-in-two-years-timer

 

Fake Gas Safety engineer given suspended sentence

Published On: April 8, 2016 at 9:15 am

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A rogue gas fitter has been given a suspended jail sentence after illegally installing a gas boiler in a privately rented property.

What’s more, Mr Christian Winter undertook landlord’s gas safety checks that he had no authority to carry out.

Unsurprisingly, the boiler installed by Winter was later found to be extremely dangerous.

Incompetent

Mr Winter, trading as CJS Winter Plumbing & Heating Services of Ashburton in Devon, installed the boiler at a property in Kingerkerswell.

He then proceeded to undertake landlord’s gas safety checks at the property, despite having no competency in gaswork, or being registered on the Gas Safe Register. Winter also conned the landlord of the property by using a fake Gas Safe Register registration number on all of the records he produced.

Exeter Crown Court heard that Mr Winter’s illegal gaswork became apparent when the boiler he installed was inspected by properly registered member of Gas Safe.

Fake Gas Safety engineer given suspended sentence

Fake Gas Safety engineer given suspended sentence

Faults

On inspection, the registered engineer found various faults with the installation and subsequently classed the equipment as dangerous.

Further investigation from the Health and Safety Executive revealed Winter had used fraudulent Gas Safe details to con the landlord. When the landlord was eventually informed of the problem, she challenged Winter but still, he continued to lie about his supposed qualifications.

Breaches

In court, Winter pleaded guilty to breaching Regulation 3(3) and 3(7) of the Gas Safety (Installation and Use) Regulations 1998 and Section 3(2) of the Health and Safety at Work Act 1974.

As such, Mr Winter was given a suspended prison sentence of 12 months, ordered to complete 200 hours of unpaid work and told to pay costs of £3,327.80.

ONS figures show changing face of UK housing market

Published On: April 7, 2016 at 12:01 pm

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Interesting data released by the Office of National Statistics (ONS) shows the economic downturn has shifted the demographic of home ownership in Britain.

Results from the latest economic review report from the ONS show the proportion of households who privately rent their home increased sharply following the downturn.

Surge

Those renting from a private landlord increased from 6% to 11% in the twenty years from 1988 to 2008. However, there was then a jump to 16% in the six years to 2014.

In contrast, the proportion of households owning their property increased slowly from 56% to 71% between 1981 and 2008. This figure then fell to 67% by 2014.

The fall in homeownership, coupled with the rise in private renting, reversed a three-decade trend of increasing numbers of home owners. The ONS report shows that this partly reflects tighter mortgage lending and the performance of house prices during the recovery period.

What’s more, the report shows that these features have assisted in cutting the fraction of households owning their own home with a mortgage. This has fallen from 43% in 1991 to only 31% in 2014.

Trends

While trends in homeownership have begun to reverse, the impact on specific groups of the population have been greater. The number of people choosing to stay living with their parents for longer has increased substantially, with patterns in tenure amongst independent property owners also altering.

Numbers of young people living in privately rented accommodation have risen massively both since the economic downturn and in the last decades. In 1987, only 9% of people aged between 26-30 rented. However, this figure increased to 19% by 1997, 30% by 2007 and 39% in 2014.

Nearly one-third of those aged between 31-35 privately rented accommodation in 2014, with one in five people aged between 37 and 41 renting.

ONS figures show changing face of UK housing market

ONS figures show changing face of UK housing market

Fall in ownership

A recent rise in private rentals has been driven by the sharp fall in home ownership and the lower number of mortgages being taken out. Between 1977 and 1987, individuals living in a property with a mortgage increased. However, in the next two decades, the proportion of young people of these properties decreased, but the mortgage owning population between 45 and retirement age increased. This reflects that many purchasers between 1977-87 were youngsters who had now matured.

Differences recorded between 2007 and 2014 are alarming. The report highlights the prevalence of mortgagors is presently lower than in 2007 for every age group below 55.

It shows that the increase of private rentals has been particularly noticeable amongst 21-25 year olds. Proportions of renters in this age group increased from less than 20% in the 1980’s to over 60% in 2014. Smaller percentages of these groups live in mortgaged homes than in any time since records began.

Rent by regions

In London, rent accounted for 34% of disposable income for renters during 2014, in comparison to just 15% for those in the North East. The South East and West saw ratios of renters above 25%, with the East Midlands, Yorkshire and the Humber and Northern Ireland below 20%.

According to the report, the figures reflect movements in the prices of rent across regions. Rents in the capital and South East have become unaffordable, while those in the North are much cheaper.

 

 

House prices up by 2.9% in Q1 of 2016

Published On: April 7, 2016 at 10:50 am

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Data released today indicates that the average UK house price now stands at £214,811, with annual property value growth hitting 10.1%.

The report from the Halifax also shows that average property values rose by 2.6% in March, in comparison to the previous month. What’s more, prices in the first quarter of 2016 were 2.9% greater than those recorded in the last three months of 2015.

Annually, the rate of growth increased from 9.7% to 10.1%-the greatest yearly increase since the three months to July 2014.

Rush

Observers suggested that the rush of buy-to-let investors striving the beat the Stamp Duty increases deadline contributed significantly to driving prices up.

However, there could well be a lull in price rises over the next two months. Martin Ells, Halifax housing economist observed, ‘worsening sentiment regarding the prospects for the UK economy and uncertainty ahead of the European referendum in June could result in some softening in the housing market over the next couple of months.’[1]

Howard Archer, chief UK and European economist at business research firm IHS, also noted, ‘post April, a likely warning of buy-to-let and second home interest may modestly dilute housing market activity and ease upward pressure on prices.’[1]

House prices up by 2.9% in Q1 of 2016

House prices up by 2.9% in Q1 of 2016

Spiralling demand

Long term, house prices are very likely to continue to rise, with demand outstripping supply in the majority of regions.

Mr Ellis added, ‘current market conditions remain very tight with an acute supply/demand imbalance continuing despite an improvement in the number of properties coming onto the market for sale in recent months. This, together with continuing low interest rates and a healthy labour market, indicate that house price growth is set to remain robust.’[1]

By property type, prices of flats have risen more markedly than any other since 2008, rising by 57% over the period. This was in comparison to 37% for residential property as a whole. Detached homes having risen by 20% in the same timeframe, with terrace and semi-detached houses recording rises of 38% and 34% respectively.

[1] http://www.theguardian.com/money/2016/apr/07/uk-house-prices-pick-up-pace-101-annual-increase-halifax-brexit?utm_medium=twitter&utm_source=twitterfeed