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Em Morley

Rents Reach Highest Level Seen So Far This Year

Published On: May 24, 2016 at 8:47 am

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Rents are continuing to climb upwards at the fastest rate since last autumn, reaching the highest level seen so far this year, according to the latest Buy-to-Let Index from estate agents Your Move and Reeds Rains.

The average rent price for a home in England and Wales was £793 per month in April.

On a monthly basis, rents have risen by 0.3% – the fastest month-on-month increase since September 2015.

The average rent now stands at 2.4% higher than in April last year, or an extra £19 a month for the typical tenant.

This strong acceleration in rent prices arrives after a fairly subdued month, when rents remained steady between February and March 2016.

The Director of Your Move and Reeds Rains, Adrian Gill, comments: “Anyone looking for a home to rent may now find the better deals of the winter months are over. Landlords are seeing renewed interest and competition between potential tenants, as the spring rental market accelerates.

“Some of the reasons for rent rises are extremely encouraging. Tenants looking to find a property to rent are more likely to be in work, getting pay rises and feeling able to pay their other bills. These wider economic fundamentals are shifting on the side of healthier household finances.”

However, he adds: “But very little has changed in terms of the supply of homes to let. So for many tenants, it’s likely that a large proportion of any earnings growth is swallowed up by higher rents. And the Government hasn’t helped by imposing an extra bill that someone will have to pay on top of this – in the form of the recent Stamp Duty surcharge. To a large extent, it’s likely that penalty will be shouldered by those tenants looking for homes to rent, due only to the fundamentals of supply and demand in the British housing market.”

Rents Reach Highest Level Seen So Far This Year

Rents Reach Highest Level Seen So Far This Year

Record high rents

Rent prices in the East Midlands, West Midlands and East of England have now reached record highs, claims the report.

The greatest annual rent price rises in England and Wales were seen in the East Midlands, where prices grew by 8.5% over the past 12 months to reach £616 per month in April.

In second place is the West Midlands, where prices are up by 6.2% since last year, pushing rents through the £600 barrier. Behind only London in terms of absolute rent price is the East of England, which has recorded an annual rent increase of 4.8% to hit £848 a month.

In monthly terms, the fastest growth was seen jointly in the East of England and the South East, which both experienced rent rises of 1% between March and April.

The North East follows, with rents now 0.8% higher than in the previous month.

Landlord returns and yields

Considering both rental income and capital growth, but before taking costs such as maintenance into account, the average landlord in England and Wales has seen total returns of 10.7% over the past 12 months.

Although this is slightly lower than the 11.4% seen in the previous month, it is higher than the 9.8% returns recorded in April last year.

In absolute terms, this means that the typical landlord has enjoyed a return of £19,538 over the year to April, before any deductions such as property maintenance and mortgage payments are taken into account.

Of this sum, the average capital gain contributed £10,815, while rental income made up £8,723.

Although a recent surge in capital values has boosted total returns for landlords, the same trend has suppressed rental yields slightly for those hoping to become landlords, or those looking to expand their portfolios. As rents rise alongside house prices, rental yields are proving reasonably resistant to increasing purchase prices.

However, the gross yield on an average property in England and Wales is now 4.9%, compared to 5.1% in April last year.

Gill explains: “Yields and returns have been remarkably steady in the face of an onslaught of hostile rhetoric and regulatory hoops. And all else being the same, there is a chance gross yields could rise marginally, to take account of any extra costs and complexities associated with being a landlord – such as the Stamp Duty surcharge.

“More chance is on the way, and landlords will need to take appropriate financial advice on how changes to the tax system could affect them – as well as ensuring that their properties and tenancy agreements comply with every single rule and requirement.

“But this latest imposition is actually not a tax on existing or accidental landlords. Actually, the Stamp Duty surcharge is a barrier to entry. The danger for tenants is that this new rule will prevent new houses and flats to rent coming onto the market. The advantage for landlords in some areas could be less competition. But anyone trying to grow their rental portfolio will now need to spend even more time making the right decision – and as of last month, more money too.”

Decrease in rent arrears

Positively, tenants in England and Wales are now finding it easier to pay their rent on time. As of April, 8.1% of all rent due was in arrears, down from 9.1% in March. However, this still represents a more challenging situation that in April last year, when just 7% of all rent was in arrears.

Over the long term, however, the latest improvement is extremely encouraging. In February 2010, an all-time high of 14.6% of all rent due was recorded.

Gill concludes: “All the signs are right for a strong improvement in tenant finances. Wages are finally showing a bit of exuberance and employment has never been higher. But rents haven’t ever been higher either in much of the country. There is a powerful trend underpinning the affordability of renting for a large majority of Britain’s tenants, but there are also serious shortages of homes to let in all the same places that people want to live.

“Rental arrears reflect this mismatch between supply and demand. Waves of interest from the bulk of financially healthy tenants are capable of pushing up rents across the market. But unless landlords are allowed to respond by investing in new homes, then supply will not quite ever be able to keep up. This is the mechanism that very soon could demonstrate the misguided nature of the latest targeting of landlords from the UK authorities. Tenants will always lose out if the bottom line is a shortage of flats to rent or houses for rent in local markets.”

Rental market set to swell further in next decade

Published On: May 23, 2016 at 11:26 am

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Spiralling property prices and a shortage of affordable property is preventing many potential buyers out of the market. As such, they are left with little choice but to reside in rental accommodation.

According to new research conducted by landlord insurance specialists Cover4LetProperty, 28% of UK adults are currently living in privately rented or socially rented accommodation.

Giving up

Another recent report from Shelter revealed that many people of a younger generation are giving up on ever owning their own home, due to sky-high house values. However, Cover4LetProperty’s research shows that 57% of those over 60 live in rented accommodation.

The report also shows that 67% of renters earn between £10,000 and £19,999 per year. 40% of people living in the sector are women, with men accounting for 20%.

Last year, accountancy firm PwC suggested that the volume of new homebuyers will continue to drop in the next decade. This is due to them struggling to raise a sufficient deposit in order to buy their own place.

Rental market set to swell further in next decade

Rental market set to swell further in next decade

Rental rises

As fewer people are qualifying for social housing, the study suggests that in the next ten years, over half of those over the age of 40 are set to live in properties owned by private landlords.

By the year 2025, PwC suggests that 7.2m households will be in rental property, in comparison to 5.4m at present.

In addition, the report highlights the growing divide between those who can make it on to the housing ladder and those who cannot raise funds in order to buy a property. The report reads:

‘House purchases have historically been a major factor in driving wealth accumulation of lower and middle classes. The inability of many to get on the ladder may limit this avenue to social mobility in the future.’[1]

John Hawksworth, chief economist at PwC, said, ‘a large and sustained increase in affordable housing supply will be required to meet the needs of a UK population that is growing relatively rapidly by European standards.’[1]

[1] https://www.landlordtoday.co.uk/breaking-news/2016/5/rise-of-generation-rent-as-more-people-live-in-rented-accommodation

 

House Prices Would Rise Whether We Stay or Leave the EU

Published On: May 23, 2016 at 10:52 am

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House prices would rise whether we vote to stay in or leave the EU, according to a report from the National Association of Estate Agents (NAEA) and the Association of Residential Letting Agents (ARLA). However, the organisations believe that price increases would be slower if we leave.

They estimate that if the UK votes to remain in the EU on 23rd June, the average house price would be £303,000 by 2018.

House Prices Would Rise Whether We Stay or Leave the EU

House Prices Would Rise Whether We Stay or Leave the EU

However, if the UK instead votes to leave, the average price would rise to £300,800, a difference of £2,200.

The difference would be more marked in London, at £7,500.

The report claims that the slower rate of growth in the event of a Brexit would be caused mainly by less investment in London, foreign companies relocating from the capital, and reduced demand for commercial and residential properties.

The study, compiled by the Centre for Economics and Business research, says that while a Brexit could cause a labour shortage in the housebuilding sector, it may help first time buyers onto the property ladder through lower house prices.

The report adds that while there would be no immediate impact, rent prices could fall as a result of reduced demand. It points out: “Currently, private renting is a more popular choice among UK residents born in non-UK EU countries than for UK born individuals.”

The Managing Director of ARLA, David Cox, believes that a fall in rents could create more housing issues: “The fact that rent costs would face downward pressure is both a blessing and a curse. While renters should face fair and reasonable prices, landlords need to be able to at least break even on any outgoings they have, such as a mortgage.

“If demand eases to such an extent that landlords cannot recuperate costs, we’ll likely see a mass exit from the market, which would then just have the opposite effect on demand as supply falls, and we’d be back to square one.”

Mark Hayward, the Managing Director of the NAEA, comments on the report: “Unfortunately, it’s not as simple as saying that Brexit would have a positive or negative effect on the property market.

“We might like to believe, for example, that the ease in demand and lower prices will allow first time buyers a route into the market, but any transactions may be put off for the short term until the period of uncertainty is over.”

Separately, ratings agency Moody’s has reported that a vote to leave the EU would result in lower house prices, which would benefit first time buyers. The firm also claims that London’s property market would be the most affected by a Brexit and that landlords could struggle to pay their mortgages due to falling rental demand.

Will one-bed flats see largest capital gains in 2016?

Published On: May 23, 2016 at 10:46 am

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An interesting new investigation has found that buy-to-let landlords in the UK could see the best capital gains on a one-bedroom flat over the course of the next year.

However, the same survey from Amicus Property Finance found that two-bedroom flats will generate the largest rental yields over the same period.

Gains

25% of British landlords said that one-bedroom flats are to offer the best capital gains in the next twelve months. This was closely followed by student accommodation in towns and cities, with 24%. 22% of residential landlords said that two-bedroom flats would provide the biggest capital gains, with 21% suggesting three-bedroom flats.

In terms of rental yields, 28% of landlords said that two-bedroom flats were likely to be most profitable. 25% said student accommodation in university hotspots would offer the biggest yields, while 21% selected three-bedroom flats. One-bedroom flats (20%) and new build properties (14%) were next most popular.

Will one-bed flats see largest capital gains in 2016?

Will one-bed flats see largest capital gains in 2016?

Winners

John Jenkins, CEO of Amicus, said, ‘the findings show flats are the clear winners over houses and maisonettes for both capital growth and rental yields and this is reflected in our own experience in servicing professional landlords’ short term borrowing requirements.’[1]

‘Despite some uncertainty in the consumer buy-to-let sector as a result of changes to stamp duty charges, we’re seeing a sustained and growing appetite for short-term property finance driven by the tightening of mainstream bank underwriting requirements and the inability of some lenders to act sufficiently quickly to respond to demand,’ Jenkins continued.[1]

[1] http://www.propertyreporter.co.uk/landlords/landlord-tip-1-bed-flats-to-achieve-biggest-capital-gains-over-next-12-months.html

 

Where to Buy Along the Crossrail Route

Published On: May 23, 2016 at 10:03 am

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We’ve all heard of Crossrail and the Elizabeth line, but if you’re searching for your next investment hotspot, where should you buy along the route?

Recent reports from Rightmove claim that asking prices along the Elizabeth line have surged by up to a third in the past 12 months alone, and they’re continuing to rise. Analysts predict that the average house price on the Crossrail route will increase by £133,000 between now and when the line launches in 2018/19.

If you’re looking for a lucrative location to invest in, here are the top spots:

Forest Gate

On the southern edge of Epping Forest, neighbouring Stratford and Leytonstone, is Forest Gate. The area has experienced a significant level of gentrification over the last few years, thanks to the Olympic Games and the Westfield shopping centre. Now, the forthcoming arrival of Crossrail is gentrifying the district even further.

Its transport links are definitely appealing to prospective buyers. The Overground takes commuters to the City of London in just 13 minutes, while the Crossrail route will transport locals to Tottenham Court road in 17 minutes.

The zone 3 location boasts a heap of affordable, Victorian houses and is a popular spot for landlords and first time buyers. The average two-bedroom house price is £275,000. London estate agent Portico expects property prices to rise by 10% by the time Crossrail is complete.

Where to Buy Along the Crossrail Route

Where to Buy Along the Crossrail Route

Tottenham Court Road

Named the epicentre of Crossrail, house prices around Tottenham Court Road have soared by 20% since work on the station began. The area is currently undergoing a huge £1 billion redevelopment project, which will deliver new residential, office and retail space, new squares, paths and greenery, and attract new businesses and customers.

Due to the recent Stamp Duty hike for buy-to-let landlords and second homebuyers, prices have stabilised in the area. However, Portico still predicts slight growth of between 2-5% over the next two years.

Farringdon

Farringdon is set to become one of Britain’s busiest train stations when Crossrail arrives, as it will be the only station from which passengers can reach all three London airports, along with Thameslink and Underground trains.

The Sales Manager of Portico’s Bloomsbury branch, Lucy Adamson, says: “Investing in central London in the areas around Tottenham Court Road such as Fitzrovia and Bloomsbury and towards the City in Farringdon have not been considered risky but rather stable in terms of the potential for assured capital growth in recent years, increasing on average by 5% every year in value.

“The Farringdon area guarantees to produce a good return in rental income, due to the continuously increasing demand to live in central areas close to the commercial and transport hubs and universities – and landlords in the area experience, on average, only one week void period between tenancies.”

The area’s desirability is being driven by Crossrail, which will improve connections to the hotspot from outer London and encourage further investment and economic growth.

Acton 

The areas on the western part of the Elizabeth line have seen huge house price growth, thanks to regeneration and shorter journey times. Infrastructure and redevelopment are making a real difference to Acton, and there are some extremely desirable places to live, such as Poet’s Corner, the Mill Hill Conservation Area, or anywhere along the Bedford Park borders. The area directly around the imminent Crossrail station is also highly sought-after.

Many savvy buyers have already purchased properties in Acton, which has an average two-bed house price of £400,000. Portico expects values to increase by 15-20% by the time Crossrail is complete.

Ilford 

Crossrail will finally put Ilford on the Tube map! Although it is not traditionally an elegant place to live, it is certainly becoming gentrified as a result of the new transport plans. New build apartments, trendy eateries and bars are popping up in the east London borough, signalling a wave of new buyers coming into the area.

It is one of the best value spots in London, with an average two-bed house price of just £280,000 – despite values rising since the announcement of Crossrail. Ahead of the line’s completion, Portico forecasts further price rises of 10%. It believes the area will prosper as a result, making it an ideal location to both live and invest in.

Romford

Romford is increasingly becoming a popular choice for homebuyers, as many are driven out of the capital by soaring house prices. The Essex town offers affordable housing (an average two-bed price of £227,000), a quick commute (trains to Liverpool Street take 20 minutes), and a series of fashionable cafes, delis, bars, and independent shops and boutiques.

House prices have already hit record highs in the area due to infrastructure plans, but Portico expects them to surge even further until Crossrail is fully operational in 2019.

Where will you invest?

Surge in international interest in student accommodation

Published On: May 23, 2016 at 9:24 am

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The latest research conducted by The Mistoria Group has shown that there has been a surge in student investment from international buyers.

In particular, there has been an influx of international investors purchasing student accommodation in the North West of England.

International Increases

Data from the investigation has found that sales of student property to international purchasers is up by a whopping 185% year-on-year.

The largest rise has come from investors in Hong Kong, where yearly numbers have trebled. India recorded rises of 220%, the Middle East 130% and Singapore 90%.

In addition, the research shows that international markets are opening in Canada and Australia, where demand is spiralling.

London has traditionally attracted overseas interest in student markets, with Kuwaiti, Qatari, Saudi and Iranian investors extremely prominent. The Mistoria Group suggests that student property is becoming more and more attractive to overseas investors due to the high yields and occupancy rates offered in the capital.

‘Exponential growth’

Mish Liyanage, Managing Director of The Mistoria Group, noted, ‘we have seen exponential growth in demand from international investors wanting to purchase student property. Although many investors are attracted by the high performing yields of houses of multiple occupation (HMOs), the UK’s outstanding educational system is a key part of the attraction. Many international investors want their children to have a school or university education in UK and they will buy a student property as a base for their children.’[1]

‘International investors have always considered the UK property market to be one of their favourite asset types. It offers investors safe and secure returns and we are expecting to see continued growth from international buyers,’ he continued.[1]

Surge in international interest in student accommodation

Surge in international interest in student accommodation

Estimates

Mr Liyanage went on to say, ‘The Bank of England has estimated that the number of UK homes sold to international buyers is about 3% across the whole market. We estimate that this is going to continue to rise over the next 5-10 years as the UK property market out performs many other markets for yields and capital growth.’[1]

‘Over the last 5 years, student properties in the North West have generated yields in excess of 13% and geared yield in excess of 35% in Salford and Liverpool.  An HMO property can provide an 8% minimum cash rental yield and a typical 13% total cash yield, including 5% capital appreciation.’[1]

Concluding, Liyanage claimed, ‘our research shows that the North West provides greater returns than any other region in the UK. This is fuelled by the massive regeneration taking place in Manchester, with the proposed High Speed 2 (HS2) high-speed railway between London Euston and the North West to be completed in the next 15-20 years.’[1]

[1] http://www.propertyreporter.co.uk/landlords/student-property-sees-surge-in-international-investors.html