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Latest High Street Banking Statistics Suggest Softening in Housing Market

Published On: September 27, 2016 at 10:44 am

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Latest High Street Banking Statistics Suggest Softening in Housing Market

Latest High Street Banking Statistics Suggest Softening in Housing Market

The latest High Street Banking Statistics report, for August 2016, from the British Banking Association (BBA) suggests that the housing market is beginning to soften.

On an annual basis, gross mortgage lending rose by just 1% in August, to £12.4 billion.

The organisation also found that consumer credit continues to show annual growth, of over 6%, reflecting fairly strong retail sales and favourable interest rates for personal loans and overdrafts.

In addition, non-financial company deposits rose by an average of around £2-3 billion per month in 2015, but fell back in the first half of this year. They are currently growing at an annual rate of 3.8%, compared to around 9% in 2015.

The Chief Economist at the BBA, Dr. Rebecca Harding, comments on the figures: “The High Street Banking Statistics published today point to a softer housing market, strong consumer credit and slightly weaker business borrowing in August. The data was collected before the Bank of England reduced interest rates to 0.25% and so gives an indication of some of the underlying pressures that the MPC [Monetary Policy Committee] was responding to when it made this decision.

“Mortgage borrowing is growing at a slower pace than it has for the last few months, reflecting both the slowdown in housing market growth after the April spike and broader trends in the sector.”

Ahead of the introduction of a 3% Stamp Duty surcharge for additional homes on 1st April 2016, the housing market experienced a significant surge in property sales.

Dr. Harding continues: “Given the low interest rate environment and high levels of confidence during the summer, the strong credit growth can be interpreted as strong consumer sentiment.

“Company deposits grew at an annual rate of 3.8% in August 2016, compared 9% in August 2015, suggesting that companies may be using their own internal resources to fund working capital and growth requirements.”

London has almost £2bn in ‘useless’ deposits

Published On: September 27, 2016 at 10:36 am

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New research into tenancy deposits indicates that the 960,000 rental properties in London generated in excess of an eye-watering £1.9bn in deposits to landlord and agents.

The investigation from deposit-free renting solution Dlighted suggests that 97% of these will be returned at the conclusion of the tenancy agreement.

Rental Bills

These figures are obtained by taking the number of privately rented properties in the capital’s 33 boroughs. These are then multiplied by the average monthly cost of renting a property in the region-the typical cost of a deposit.

However, many landlords and letting agents asking for deposits are looking for these equivalent to six weeks rent. This means that the overall cost of the capital rental deposits could hit £3bn.

In Westminster, almost half of residents in the region privately rent. This area is worst hit, with a deposit bill of over £250m.

Kensington and Chelsea comes next, with 33% of residents renting in the borough paying a combined £136m.

Other boroughs with a high rental bill include Camden (£124m), Lambeth (£111m) and Wandsworth (£100m).

The ten London boroughs with the greatest overall estimated value of tenancy deposits were found to be:

  1. Westminster – £250m (43% of households privately rented)
    2.   Kensington and Chelsea  – £136m (33%)
    3.   Camden – £124m (31%)
    4.   Lambeth – £111m (34%)
    5.   Wandsworth – £100m (31%)
    6.    Barnet – £95m (31%)
    7.    Ealing – £90m (35%)
    8.    Brent – £82m (35%)
    9.   Tower Hamlets – £74m (32%)
    10.  Newham – £73m (43%)

[1]

London has almost £2bn in 'useless' deposits

London has almost £2bn in ‘useless’ deposits

Better spent

Long-time opponent of tenancy deposits, Ajay Jagota, of Dlighted, noted: ‘the irony is, it’s unlikely these deposits will even solve the problems they’re supposed to. Statistics show that 97% of deposits are handed back untouched at the end of their tenancies. And whether you’re renting out a property in Kensington or in Brent, it’s either unlikely you’ll go through the process of using a deposit to pay for minor damage, or that the deposit will cover the costs of major damage.’[1]

‘In the meantime that money isn’t just gathering dust, its gaining interest in the bank accounts of people it doesn’t legally belong to. The industry needs to take a good hard look at itself and consider moving to an insurance-based system like every other industry on Earth. It would mean a better deal for landlords, a better deal for renters and more money in our economy,’ he added.[1]

[1] http://www.propertyreporter.co.uk/landlords/londons-useless-2bn-rental-deposits.html

Landlord Action to Feature in Third Series of Nightmare Tenants, Slum Landlords

Published On: September 27, 2016 at 9:15 am

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Landlord Action to Feature in Third Series of Nightmare Tenants, Slum Landlords

Landlord Action to Feature in Third Series of Nightmare Tenants, Slum Landlords

Following the success of the first two series, tenant eviction firm Landlord Action has announced that it will feature in the 12-part third series of Nightmare Tenants, Slum Landlords on Channel 5.

As rents continue to spiral, due to continuing pressure on housing stock, the observational documentary will continue to follow the conflicts between landlords and tenants. Previous episodes have uncovered shocking subletting scams, rent arrears cases and uninhabitable conditions. The third series aims to reveal even more industry issues that affect all those in the lettings sector.

The Founder of Landlord Action, Paul Shamplina, says: “Working closely with those landlords that have found themselves in extremely distressing situations, we will once again be exposing the most prevalent landlord/tenant issues. These include subletting scams, in particular, those relating to the holiday rental market, retaliation eviction and more shocking rent arrears cases.”

However, Landlord Action also notes that it is not just battles between landlords and tenants that plague the private rental sector. The firm aims to uncover the rogue letting agents that rip off their clients.

Throughout more than 160 hours of filming, Landlord Action will name and shame those unscrupulous letting agents that withhold rent from landlords and deposits from tenants.

Shamplina comments: “Letting or renting a property can be a complex business and one that is not without risk. For this reason, it is important that we expose the rogue letting agent operators who are tarnishing the reputation of those good, trustworthy agents. The industry will be a better place once Client Money Protection is mandatory for all letting agents, ensuring landlords’ rent and tenants’ deposits are protected.”

He adds: “Those landlords that have kindly agreed to share their story will help educate and prevent others from making the same mistakes.”

The third series of Nightmare Tenants, Slum Landlords is due to air from February 2017.

Brexit is impacting on one in five homeowners

Published On: September 27, 2016 at 8:50 am

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An interesting new report has uncovered that Brexit is still having an impact upon property owners.

The survey of 2,000 people, conducted by home services marketplace Plentific.com, discovered that the result of the vote is likely to affect moving home for around one in five homeowners.

Uncertainty

22% of UK homeowners suggest that Brexit is affecting the likelihood of them moving home in the short term. 10% said that they were more likely to move home, with 12% likely to stay at home.

In London, 26% of owners said they were more likely to sell up because of the result, with 11% saying they were less likely. The average price of a property in the capital is presently £484,716, according to the Office for National Statistics data from July 2016.

However, with more people likely to sell up, this could leave opportunities for buyers and investors, with prices possibly falling in the more saturated market.

Brexit is impacting on one in five homeowners

Brexit is impacting on one in five homeowners

Improvements

Further data from the investigation found that three months on since the Brexit vote, there has been a 50% increase in homeowners who are more likely to make improvements to their homes. In the North West, 21% of property owners are likely to improve their dwelling, with 19% of people in the North East saying the same.

Cem Savas, Co-Founder of Plentific.com noted: ‘we know Brexit would have massive consequences for the UK housing market and our research shows that the public are still unsure of our future. Despite the fear-mongering and confusion which has surrounded the topic, Plentific’s statistics show that homeowners are now relaxed about the idea of spending money on their property. Interestingly, our research highlights the current nervous property market in London, with a quarter of Londoners ready to cash in and sell up.’[1]

[1] http://www.propertyreporter.co.uk/property/brexit-continues-to-impact-homeowners.html

 

 

30-Somethings Leaving London as Housing Becomes too Expensive

Published On: September 27, 2016 at 8:35 am

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High housing costs and unstable private tenancies are forcing 30-somethings and young families to leave London, according to a worrying report from tenant group Generation Rent.

The organisation has analysed Government data, which shows that net migration from the capital among 30-somethings and young children has soared by 41% since 2012.

In 2014-15, 65,890 adults aged between 30-39 moved out of London to another part of the UK, compared with the 35,480 30-somethings who moved into the capital, according to internal migration data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS). This net loss of 30,410 people compares to 20,590 in 2011-12, when 58,130 30-somethings moved out and 37,530 moved to London.

30-Somethings Leaving London as Housing Becomes too Expensive

30-Somethings Leaving London as Housing Becomes too Expensive

There has also been a similar rise in the amount of children being moved out of London, with 26,920 more under-10s leaving the capital for another part of the UK than arriving in 2014-15, up from 19,980 in 2011-12. Young families have long been the most common group to leave London, however, the faster growing rate of 30-39 year olds moving out of the capital suggests that many are making the decision before they start a family.

Generation Rent believes that London is becoming a turn-off to younger age groups, as the net migration of 25-29 year olds dropped from a high of 11,680 in 2013-14 to 9,990 in 2014-15.

This exodus occurred during a period when house prices in London surged by 37%, compared to 16% across the UK as a whole, and rents rose by 10%, compared with 4% outside the capital.

Of the people leaving London for another part of the UK, 64% moved to the South East and East of England commuter belt, while 12% moved to the Midlands, 11% to the north, 9% to the South West, and 5% to Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland combined. These proportions have remained fairly consistent over recent years.

Generation Rent’s report comes as a warning to the Mayor of London, Sadiq Khan, who is being given the task of keeping housing costs down to avoid even more Londoners leaving the capital, which would impede its economy and weaken communities.

In the report, the group calls on Khan to ensure that his housing policies tackle the affordability crisis and allow people of all incomes to continue living in the capital.

Generation Rent’s recommendations include:

  • Homes let at the London Living Rent should be targeted at tenants for whom the median London rent is over 30% of their income.
  • Khan should commission a large-scale investigation into different forms of rent control for the wider private rental sector.
  • In his negotiations with the Government for additional powers on housing, Khan should demand powers over landlord licensing and indefinite tenancies in the private rental sector, to ensure that private renting is a genuine long-term option in London.
  • Khan should push for the largest possible grant allocation for a new generation of social housing and roll out his priority for Londoners pledge, to ensure that residents get first access to new homes, rather than absent investors and landlords.

The Director of Generation Rent, Betsy Dillner, comments: “Growing numbers of Londoners are giving up on the city and its extortionate housing market. London is an incredible city, and the decision to move away isn’t taken lightly. These people are leaving friends and family in order to find a home they can afford, and some are leaving their jobs. This should worry everyone in London, from employers facing a loss of skills, to communities losing valued neighbours, and particularly Sadiq Khan, whose housing policies will need to stop this exodus.”

Landlords, what did you think about this reported exodus and how would it affect you?

House price growth in UK’s largest cities slowing

Published On: September 26, 2016 at 11:31 am

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Categories: Property News

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The average annual rate of residential property growth in the UK’s 20 largest cities is continuing to slow, according to a new report.

Hometrack’s UK Cities Index suggests that increase in value slid to 8.2% in these cities during August. This was down from the 9.5% reported in July, taking the average price of a home in the 20 cities to £239,400.

Slowdown

This slowdown is being driven primarily by lesser price growth in the largest cities in the South of England-led by the capital.

During the three months to August, property prices in the 20 big cities increased by only 1.9%. This was the lowest level of quarterly growth seen since February.

Despite this, Bristol led the way for the quickest rate of yearly growth, with prices rising by an average of 13.1% in the period. London was next, with typical growth of 10.4%. However, the capital is set to end 2016 with property prices up by just 6% year-on-year.

This owes much to a slowdown in the highest value inner London boroughs. These include Kensington and Chelsea, Hammersmith and Fulham and Westminster, where prices were up by just 0.2%, 1% and 1.8% respectively.

Trends

Richard Donnell, insight director at Hometrack, noted: ‘on current trends house price growth in London will be running at circa 6% per annum by December and on course for low single digit growth by Spring 2017. Record unaffordability, tax changes impacting investor demand and high stamp duty costs are all combining to reduce market activity in the face of rising supply.’[1]

‘Despite the overall slowdown in London, it is dangerous to view the capital as a single housing market. While many of the central boroughs have seen low rates of growth, in parts of outer London where house prices are 30% lower than the London average, such as Barking and Dagenham and Havering, prices are rising by more than 15% although these areas are starting to slow,’ he continued.[1]

Similar trends are evident in most of the cities located in southern England, including Cambridge, Oxford and Bournemouth. Cambridge has seen the fastest decline in growth, with prices slipping from 16% in March 2016 to 6% at present.

House price growth in UK's largest cities slowing

House price growth in UK’s largest cities slowing

Recoveries

Cities with short-lived housing market resurgence, such as Liverpool and Glasgow have seen the largest rates of growth. Despite this, they offer some of the cheapest priced properties throughout the UK.

Mr Donnell continued by saying, ‘Regional cities such as Glasgow, Liverpool, Birmingham and Edinburgh have all posted above average growth in the last three months as low mortgage rates and affordable property prices support growth. Aberdeen has registered a small bounce back in house prices – after house prices registered a £20,000 fall since July 2015 – the rebound in growth reflects the fact that the recent fall in the oil price has now been priced into capital values.’[1]

The fall list of how the top 20 UK cities performed in regards to house price growth over the last three months and over the year can be seen below:

City Average price % yoy  August 2016 % last quarter to August 2016
Liverpool £114,300 7.2% 4.1%
Glasgow £113,900 4.5% 2.7%
Aberdeen £184,800 -6.7% 2.3%
Edinburgh £203,800 3.3% 2.2%
Birmingham £144,400 8.0% 2.1%
Manchester £147,500 7.4% 1.9%
Nottingham £137,900 7.5% 1.8%
Newcastle £127,700 4.1% 1.7%
Bristol £256,100 13.1% 1.7%
Portsmouth £217,400 9.0% 1.5%
Sheffield £128,700 3.4% 1.3%
Southampton £214,200 7.7% 1.2%
Belfast £123,100 3.1% 1.2%
London £475,700 10.4% 0.9%
Oxford £409,800 8.1% 0.9%
Leicester £151,400 5.6% 0.7%
Bournemouth £263,500 6.2% 0.4%
Cardiff £188,100 6.3% 0.3%
Cambridge £407,200 6.0% -0.4%
Leeds £148,800 4.8% -0.8%
20 city index £239,400 8.2% 1.9%
UK £202,400 7.4% 1.6%

[1]

[1] https://www.propertyinvestortoday.co.uk/breaking-news/2016/9/house-price-growth-in-uks-major-cities-continue-to-slow