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Government releases August House Price Index, revealing average up 10.6% annually

The average house price in the UK increased 10.6% year-on-year, according to the Government’s House Price Index for August. The monthly price change was 2.9%.

The average house price was at £264,244 during August 2021, the report shows.

Alice Bullard, Head of Commercial at Nested, comments: “We continue to find ourselves in a dramatically different place compared to just 12 months ago with property prices still showing phenomenal levels of growth, driven by high levels of buyer demand.

“While mortgage rates remain at such affordable levels, we’re unlikely to see any let-up in this tidal wave of activity that has washed over the market since it reopened.

“However, it looks increasingly likely that we could see an increase in interest rates as early as the start of next year. So those considering a purchase may want to act sooner rather than later to lock in the very best rates.”

Marc von Grundherr, Director of Benham and Reeves, says: “Yet further proof that the drop in property prices following the initial Stamp Duty holiday deadline was merely a pause for breath in an otherwise marathon run of positive market momentum.

“There’s little sign of this letting up and should an increase in interest rates materialise, the likelihood is that it will be fairly palatable for the average homebuyer. Therefore, we don’t expect it to have any notable impact on the nation’s insatiable appetite for homeownership and the market should continue moving forward at pace well into next year.”

James Forrester, Managing Director of Barrows and Forrester, says: “The current state of the market is quite remarkable given what we’ve been through as a nation since the start of last year. Employment and wage growth have remained firm, mortgage affordability is still hovering around record lows and house prices continue to climb ever higher.

“As a result, buyers continue to mob the market and while an interest rate hike is on the horizon, we expect these factors to continue to stimulate positive house price growth for the remainder of the year.

“Forget about a shortage of HGV drivers, we need more estate agents to get us through until Christmas.”

Colby Short, Founder and CEO of GetAgent.co.uk, comments: “A continued shortage of stock has seen the ball lie increasingly within the court of the home seller, as buyers fight it out to secure their ideal home.

“As a result, buyers entering the ring can expect some stiff competition that will see them pay close to asking price, if not more, in order to come away victorious.

“The best plan of attack is to be ready to act at a moment’s notice and if you are a cash buyer, ensure the seller is aware that you sit in a far more favourable position.”

Lucy Pendleton, property expert at independent estate agents James Pendleton, comments: “Just as you think the rally may be fading, London shows its true colours and delivers a trebling in the annual rate of growth. House prices in the capital have leapt almost £28,000 in a single month, showing that a return to normality has jolted the city back into life.

“The London market had been languishing in the doldrums in relative terms until now. It has been the poor relation, although the headline figures have masked pockets of intense fighting over particular properties in key areas.

“The capital’s annual growth rate flew from 2.2% in July to 7.5% in August. That’s quite a jump given that it’s London’s highest annual rise since the pandemic began, and the government Stamp Duty tax break that still prevailed here was nothing close to the scheme at its most generous earlier this year. The lettings market also continues to see fierce activity with the most desirable properties in each price band being taken off the table faster than sales.

“The capital has turned a corner and we expect the London market to now mount a charge and make up for lost time that saw the regions get all the fanfare over the past 18 months.”

Nicky Stevenson, Managing Director at national estate agent group Fine & Country, says: “Just when you thought it was safe to predict the end of the housing boom, you get another dramatic spike in prices that no one saw coming.

“This data captures the final surge of the Stamp Duty holiday as buyers put their foot back on the gas to complete transactions before the end of the Chancellor’s tax breaks.

“It marks a big turnaround from July’s figures which showed a month-on-month dip. Suddenly we’re back in high gear again, with annual price rises accelerating back into the double digits.

“Looking ahead, the country is now braced for an era of higher borrowing costs as the Bank of England looks to tame inflation. While this may stretch affordability for first-time-buyers, its effect on the wider housing market may not be as pronounced.

“Demand will continue to outstrip supply for some time to come as even the best planned new build schemes face excessive delays as a result of material and worker shortages. The housing boom just seems to rumble on regardless of forecasts to the contrary.”

Iain McKenzie, CEO of The Guild of Property Professionals, says: “There are no signs that house prices are going to fall anytime soon and these figures show how property values have been inflated by surging demand.

“The underlying cause of this current wave of price rises is the shortage of stock available from estate agents. The number of properties available to buy started to dwindle after the first lockdown and this trend looks set to continue while demand remains high.

“Just as the end of the Stamp Duty holiday motivated a frenzy to buy, predictions of impending mortgage rate rises are also likely to spur on buyers. “These figures tell the story of the ‘flight from the city’, with London prices increasing at the slowest rate in the country and Scotland roaring ahead.”

Boiler Upgrade Scheme announced in Government Heat and Buildings Strategy

Published On: October 21, 2021 at 8:34 am

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Categories: Landlord News,Property News

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The Government published its Heat and Buildings Strategy this week, announcing that grants of £5,000 will be made available to households to replace gas boilers with systems such as heat pumps.

Following discussions with the National Residential Landlords Association (NRLA), the Government has indicated that landlords will be able to apply for these grants from April next year.

Despite the publication of the long-awaited strategy, private landlords have still been left in need of clarity from the Government to help them plan for the future of their businesses. It does, however, aim to publish further information before the end of the year.

Ben Beadle, Chief Executive of the NRLA, comments: “80% of private rented households have gas central heating and replacing such systems will be both costly and vital to achieving net zero.

“Providing grants to assist householders and landlords to install heat pumps is a welcome step, but much more is needed to make the Government’s targets achievable.

“Once again private landlords have been left waiting for the Government to publish details of the standards they will be required to comply with, the deadlines they must meet, and how such work should be funded.”

Dan Wilson Craw, Deputy Director of Generation Rent, has also commented on the Government’s new Heat and Buildings Strategy: “Private rented homes are the hardest to make greener because the tenant pays the bills but has to rely on their landlord paying for the improvements.

“Raising gas prices might encourage homeowners to invest in heat pumps, but on its own that won’t get landlords putting basic insulation in their properties, let alone installing the newest technologies. As a result, more renters will be unable to afford to heat their homes properly. Homes that are harder to heat are more likely to have damp problems, causing health problems for their occupants.

“The net zero agenda should deliver lower bills and healthier homes for renters, but without a better plan the Government will achieve the opposite.”

Decline in London rental stock pushes rents up, estate agent Benham and Reeves reports

Published On: October 20, 2021 at 10:55 am

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Categories: Landlord News,Tenant News

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The cost of renting in London has climbed by hundreds of pounds a month, research from lettings and estate agent Benham and Reeves shows.

This is due to dwindling rental stock levels and could continue to do so if the issue is not resolved.

Benham and Reeves analysed both the change in available rental stock across the London market in the last year, as well as how this has impacted the cost of renting across the capital.

Across the whole of London, the number of available rental properties listed on the market decreased by 48% between Q3 2020 and Q3 2021. At the same time, the average cost of renting has increased by £109 per month.

Only the borough of Barking and Dagenham saw the level of available rental stock increase, up 1%. The average cost of renting in the borough has also increased by an average of 1%.

The rest of London, however, has seen the level of rental stock fall by between 10% to 30% year on year. The average cost of renting has climbed by 4%, which Benham and Reeves reports is an increase of £49 per month for the average tenant.

The average monthly rental cost has increased £95 per month in boroughs where rental stock has dropped between 30.1% and 50% compared to last year, resulting in a 6% increase in the average cost of renting.

In 10 London boroughs, the level of available rental stock currently on the market has more than halved in the last year. The cost of renting across these worst-hit boroughs has climbed by 9% on average, equating to a rental increase of £179 per month.

Marc von Grundherr, Director of Benham and Reeves, comments: “Restrictions imposed as a result of the pandemic saw demand for London rental properties evaporate almost overnight and many landlords were forced to dramatically reduce their rental income expectations simply to secure a tenant.

“However, we’ve seen waves of tenant demand return to the capital as social and workplace restrictions have been eased but while this demand is starting to snowball, the level of available rental stock remains notably lower than it was a year ago.

“As a result, the cost of renting has climbed quite considerably in many boroughs, with tenants now paying hundreds of pounds more a month as a result. Should stock levels remain muted, there’s no doubt that this upward trend will continue and the cost of renting in London will climb even further.”

The year on year decline in rental stock levels and the average change in the monthly cost of renting

No. BoroughsDecline in rental stock levels (Q3 2020 vs Q3 2021)Change in Average Monthly Rental Cost (%)Change in Average Monthly Rental Cost (£)
610% to 30%4%£49
1630.1% to 50%6%£95
1050.1% or more9%£179
London48%7%£109
Rental stock data sourced from Rightmove, rental price data sourced from PropertyData. Barking and Dagenham was not included in the above table as it was the only borough to see an increase in rental stock levels (11%) and a 1% increase in the cost of renting

Private rent debts double during the pandemic, government data shows

Published On: October 18, 2021 at 8:21 am

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Categories: Tenant News

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The proportion of private renters in arrears in England has more than doubled during the COVID-19 pandemic, according to new government data.

The latest Household Resilience Study reveals that in April-May 2021, 7% of private renters were in arrears. This is up from 3% in 2019/20, amounting to over 780,000 renters.

An extra 9% indicated that they expected to fall behind with their rent payments over the next 12 months. This comes despite private rents falling in real terms.

With 27% of private renters reporting difficulties in meeting their heating costs in the same period, the National Residential Landlords Association (NRLA) is warning that many renters will struggle to pay off COVID related rent debts, especially with rising bills adding to their burden.

Ben Beadle, Chief Executive of the NRLA, has commented: “Landlords are being put in a difficult position. They either try to shoulder rent debts they cannot afford or seek to repossess properties as a final resort.

“Without a targeted package of support to pay off COVID rent debts, many tenants run the risk of losing their homes needlessly. They also face the possibility that their credit scores will be damaged, making it more difficult to access new housing in future.

“The Chancellor needs to address this crisis. His continued failure to act signals to the private rented sector that the Government simply does not care about the problem.”

Local Government Association publishes housing waiting list research

Published On: October 14, 2021 at 8:27 am

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The Local Government Association has published new research that shows one in ten households in need of housing are stuck on council waiting lists for over five years. This is due to a chronic shortage of affordable homes.

The research also shows that waiting lists could almost double next year to as many as 2.1 million households due to the winding down of COVID-related support schemes and a potential increase in homelessness. 

Jon Sparkes, chief executive of Crisis, has responded to the findings in this report: “This research should be a wakeup call for the Government to face the reality that people experiencing homelessness and those at risk are paying the price for our continued failure to build the number of social homes we need.

“Behind these escalating figures are people forced to travel miles to take their children to school because they’ve had to be relocated away from their support networks, others trying to hold down a job while they move from one sofa to the next, then there are those living with the constant worry of how they will afford their rent and heat their homes when each day brings further financial pressure.
 
“Enough is enough. If we really want to rebuild a society and economy that works for everyone then building safe and genuinely affordable homes must be at the heart of this. Only this bold action will see us finally end homelessness for good.”

You can read the full report from the Local Government Association here: https://www.local.gov.uk/publications/building-post-pandemic-prosperity

New HMO licensing rules could impact London’s biggest rental market

Published On: October 13, 2021 at 8:40 am

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Research by central London estate agency Bective has revealed how new HMO licensing rules will impact London’s biggest rental market, Westminster.

The new rules came into force in Westminster at the end of August 2021. They state that shared houses or flats where 3 or more people from 2 or more households share facilities now require licensing as HMOs (houses in multiple occupation). This is in replace of the rule that stated an HMO license wasn’t mandatory until 5 or more people were sharing facilities.

Bective’s research highlights that Westminster is the largest private rental market in London, where private rental stock accounts for 27% of all dwellings. In Westminster, this number rises to 42% of dwellings, followed by the City of London (41%) and Kensington & Chelsea (37%).

Top 10 boroughs ranked top to bottom for private rent as % of total stock

LocationPrivate rental % of total stock
Westminster42.1%
City of London41.1%
Kensington and Chelsea37.2%
Newham36.0%
Tower Hamlets34.5%
Hammersmith and Fulham33.0%
Haringey32.7%
Wandsworth32.4%
Camden31.8%
Brent31.0%
London26.80%
Source – ons.gov.uk

Westminster also has the 6th largest number of existing HMOs (9,539) of all London boroughs, trumped only by Ealing (20,429), Brent (16,984), Lambeth (12,000), Tower Hamlets (10,000), and Enfield (10,000).

Over the past three years, Westminster has seen the 8th largest increase in the number of HMOs, up 19% between 2017 and 2020, behind Hillingdon (668%), the City of London (614%), Lambeth (532%), Tower Hamlets (67%), Newham (58%), Waltham Forest (53%), and Harrow (36%).

Total number of HMO properties in London boroughs in 2017 and 2020, ranked from biggest 3-year increase to smallest

LocationEstimate of total number of HMOs 2016 to 2017Estimate of total number of
HMOs 2019 to 2020
3 year change
Hillingdon6515,000668%
City of London14100614%
Lambeth1,90012,000532%
Tower Hamlets6,00010,00067%
Newham6,0009,50058%
Waltham Forest3,9005,95153%
Harrow8801,20036%
Westminster8,0009,53919%
Greenwich6,5007,50015%
Hackney4,2694,71710%
Brent16,00016,9846%
Hounslow1,8001,8503%
Havering2652671%
Sutton1,2001,2000%
Ealing20,42920,4290%
Kingston upon Thames4,8004,8000%
Barnet5,9305,9300%
Croydon3,0003,0000%
Camden8,0008,0000%
Kensington & Chelsea4,4344,000-10%
Bromley2,3002,074-10%
Bexley1,4001,200-14%
Redbridge5,0004,000-20%
Enfield14,20010,000-30%
Barking & Dagenham300192-36%
Haringey12,0006,000-50%
Hammersmith & Fulham6,6333,000-55%
Lewisham14,8106,000-59%
Southwark13,0005,020-61%
Merton5,5682,040-63%
Richmond upon Thames51097-81%
Wandsworth15,000820-95%
IslingtonN/A400 
London overall194,693172,810-11%
Sources – Gov.uk LA Housing Data,Gov.uk LA Housing Statistics

Westminster also ranks 12th in terms of current HMO numbers as a percentage of all rental stock (18%), a list that is topped by Ealing (53%), Brent (46%), and Enfield (32%).

HMOs as a percentage of private rental stock in top 20 London boroughs, ranked from largest percentage to smallest

LocationEstimate of private
rentals (2019)
Estimate of total number of HMOs 2019 to 2020HMOs as % of private rental stock
Ealing38,90420,42952.5%
Brent37,28316,98445.6%
Enfield31,05110,00032.2%
Greenwich25,1917,50029.8%
Kingston upon Thames16,3704,80029.3%
Lambeth42,24512,00028.4%
Tower Hamlets41,88510,00023.9%
Camden33,6258,00023.8%
Hillingdon22,0295,00022.7%
Newham42,1249,50022.6%
Waltham Forest28,0595,95121.2%
Westminster52,7919,53918.1%
Lewisham33,2776,00018.0%
Haringey35,7816,00016.8%
Redbridge26,3364,00015.2%
Southwark35,0395,02014.3%
Barnet42,2355,93014.0%
Hackney34,1004,71713.8%
Kensington and Chelsea32,6704,00012.2%
Hammersmith and Fulham29,3993,00010.2%
London overall963,794172,81017.9%
Sources – Gov.uk LA Housing Data,ONS

However, with these changes now in force, Bective points out it is likely the number of HMOs within the borough will now spike.

Tom Dainty, Head of Lettings and Property Management at Bective, comments: “The impact of these new rules will be two-fold. Yes, it’s undeniable that additional HMO licensing and tighter scrutiny when dealing with rule-breakers will benefit tenants by raising the standard of living.

“But, at the same time, this increased scrutiny, along with the additional costs, might tempt landlords to up sticks from Westminster and find more profitable investments elsewhere.

“This exodus will be of detriment to tenants. Less landlords means less stock, and less stock means higher rent prices. With Westminster’s average rent already more than £2,600 a month, this could further price more tenants out of the borough.”