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Em Morley

Hometrack Index Showing Stable House Price Growth

Published On: April 3, 2018 at 11:05 am

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Categories: Property News

Hometrack, the property market analyst, has released their House Price Index for February 2018, showing house price growth to be continuing a stable buoyancy.

Overall, UK city house price inflation is running at 5.2%, with London houses prices increasing 1% per annum, showing negative growth in 42% of postcodes. The February Index is showing a divergence in growth for house prices between the south of England and regional cities.

Of the 20 cities covered by the index, half of them are showing a higher annual growth than what was recorded a year ago. Specifically, Edinburgh, Liverpool, Leicester, Birmingham and Manchester have registered more than 7% growth per annum.

Graham Davidson, managing director of buy to let specialist, Sequre Property Investment, has said: “The latest Hometrack report cements what we’ve been saying for several years, that the north is best to invest.

“Whilst many investors are turning their back on London and the south due to very poor rental yield returns and little or even negative capital growth, the north has been flourishing. Deals in northern cities are far stronger; for example, an investor can pick up a 2-bedroom apartment in Manchester for around £98,000 generating a 22.3% return on cash invested, financials you simply wouldn’t find in the south.

Those who were quick to catch on to northern buy to let 4 years ago could now be sitting on returns in excess of 230%, demonstrating the strength of the market in the North West. For savvy investors, the north is the place to be. You just need to know where to look.”

Hometrack Index Showing Stable House Price Growth

Hometrack Index Showing Stable House Price Growth

Founder and CEO of Emoov.co.uk, Russell Quirk, has commented: “The appeal of city living continues to ensure that house price growth across the nation’s major cities remains buoyant, despite wider market conditions.

“This imbalance of supply to meet demand in the more densely populated areas of the market has seen them buck the trend of a slower start to the year, to enjoy a greater rate of annual growth than this time last year.”

There is a slowing of growth amongst certain cities compared to a year ago, with Bristol, Southampton and London showing the greatest slowdown. In particular, London’s annual growth rate has slowed to 1%, down from 4.3%. This is the lowest annual rate London has seen since 2011. Average prices have increased over the last 3 months by 0.4%, which is a small amount in comparison to the 5% growth recorded per quarter in 2014.

Quirk also said: “Unfortunately for the capital the much higher price of getting on the ladder, and the greater degree of buyer uncertainty as a result, has seen London remain one of the ugly ducklings of city living where market performance is concerned.

However, as we’ve seen over the years, the popularity of the London market is cyclical and while it may have fallen out of favour for the time being, this cool in price growth is unlikely to prevail as the year plays out and it is highly unlikely we will see a market crash of any shape or form.

London is still viewed by many as the pinnacle of homeownership in the UK and while the growing political tensions with Russia will do little to help London’s prime central market, vast pockets of the capital remain very popular among buyers.”

Further information from the February Hometrack House Price Index shows the highest coverage of price falls since 2008. Growth among London city postcodes has varied between positive to negative since 1996, but currently we are seeing the highest negative growth since the global financial crisis. Most of the times London has seen falling prices have been due to economic and other such external factors.

Hometrack expect the number of markets with falling house prices to increase as the year goes on, due to buyers accepting lower prices in order to successfully complete sales.

Time’s up for The Gender Investment Gap

Published On: April 3, 2018 at 9:31 am

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Categories: Landlord News

With International Women’s Day just gone, and movements such as #MeToo and #TimesUp shedding light onto the widespread inequalities still present in many facets of our society, it seems a good time to take a look at the property investment industry.

After discovering only 17% of its investors are female, property investment platform Brickowner has conducted research into why this might be. The four main areas it found are as follows.

  1. Unequal pay and less disposable income

The first and most apparent reason for less female investors, is the gender pay gap currently stands at 18.4% in favour of men. This equates to roughly a difference of £5,380 per annum. The gender pay gap tends to run deeper than simply companies choosing to pay certain employees more than others based on their perceived gender alone (although this of course occupies a small percentage).

Reasons for unequal pay and less disposable income include women being perceived as less competent or managerial (meaning their skills go undervalued), or their status as mothers (or even potential mothers…) means their commitment to work is taken less seriously (whereas being a father does not create the same effect). For more detailed information on why the gender pay gap exists, this article helps to explain it.

  1. Unequal Pension Pots

As a follow-on from unequal pay and less disposable income, women tend to have lower pension pots. In 2015-16, according to government statistics, the number of women contributing to a personal pension grew from 1.94m in 2011-12 to 3.65m in 2015-16. During the same period, the number of men making payments rose from 3.37m to 5.31m.

Although progress may feel slow on the issue of the pay gap and unequal pension pots, if you look at the above figures as percentages – the number of women contributing to pensions actually increased by 88% from 2011/12 to 2015/16, compared to an increase of 57% of men. This indicates a move in the right direction, with perhaps less pressure on men to be the sole-earners, as well as increased financial independence and economic power for women.

Time's up for The Gender Investment Gap

Whilst there is systematic inequality in our society, an increase of female contributions to pensions is an encouraging sign for the future of property investment

  1. Financial service firms tend to direct their appeals to men

Writing for The Guardian, Rebecca Nicholson comments; ‘Broadly speaking, girls have lower self-esteem than boys, while boys struggle to express their emotions, and “gendered” interests – mechanics for boys, makeup for girls – are fixed early on in a child’s development. According to the various scientists and medical professionals […], there is no biological reason that these should be pre-determined.’

Perhaps the financial sector is also guilty of gendering certain campaigns, and making them seem more open to men as opposed to women, whereas really there is no logical reason for this bias. One of the biggest studies carried out in recent years by Kantar on over 30,000 people found the perception of banks’ advertising fails to consistently communicate products to women. It’s said they failed to connect with women who view financial advisors in an untrustworthy light, and paint men as the direct target audience in their advertising.

  1. Women are more reluctant to invest with firms

Since the 2008 financial crash, it seems we all are warier of the trust we place in financial institutions. It seems that women are less trusting than men too, preferring even less risk associated with their financial endeavours. However, it seems that with the potential new market that could be worth around £130bn, it makes good business sense and creates a massive opportunity for firms to cater towards women too.

What does this mean for the future?

We live in a world of binary gender – we are generally designated as either male or female at birth and grow up with societal pressures to fit into those roles. Maybe in the near future, our gender will dictate less about what is and isn’t acceptable for us as individuals. It seems these figures show a shift towards a future where men and women alike (as well as gender non-conforming people) will be able to live their lives and achieve what they want to, whilst starting from an equal platform.

In a related article, check out why women shun the stock market, which discusses the uncomfortable truths at the heart of the investment and pensions industry.

Government Inspector Attacks Right to Rent Scheme

Published On: April 3, 2018 at 8:10 am

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Categories: Law News

A Government inspector has attacked the controversial Right to Rent scheme, saying it has failed “to demonstrate its worth” in encouraging compliance with immigration law.

Under the scheme, landlords are responsible for checking the immigration status of all prospective tenants, with the prospect of prosecution if they know or have “reasonable cause to believe” that someone who does not have the legal right to rent in the UK occupies that the property that they are letting.

We have an informative guide from the Home Office on how the scheme operates: https://landlordnews.co.uk/home-office-reinforces-landlord-responsibilities-right-rent/

Government Inspector Attacks Right to Rent Scheme

Government Inspector Attacks Right to Rent Scheme

In a foreword to his report on the scheme, David Bolt, the Independent Chief Inspector of Borders and Immigration, concludes that the policy has “yet to demonstrate its worth as a tool to encourage immigration compliance”, and that the Home Office is “failing to coordinate, maximise or even measure effectively its use, while at the same time doing little to address the concerns of stakeholders”.

The Government’s response to the report rules out including groups concerned with the rights and interests of migrants on its consultative panel on the policy, thereby preventing the experiences of migrants themselves from being properly heard by the Government. Ministers have also failed to accept the inspector’s call for a more meaningful evaluation of the impact of the scheme on all those affected by it.

The Residential Landlords Association (RLA) is calling for the Right to Rent scheme to be suspended pending a full evaluation of its impact, especially on the ability to let a property to those who cannot easily prove their identity.

The fear of criminal sanctions has made many landlords reluctant to let to non-UK nationals, out of fear of being duped by forged documents.

Research by the Joint Council for the Welfare of Immigrants (JCWI) has found that the scheme has made 51% of landlords less likely to consider letting to foreign nationals. This is backed by a similar study by the RLA.

The same JCWI research also found that 48% of landlords were less likely to let to someone without a British passport as a result of the scheme, due to the threat of criminal sanctions. This poses serious difficulties to the 17% of UK residents who do not have a passport.

The RLA is supporting a judicial review of the policy being sought by the JCWI, which argues that the scheme discriminates against foreign nationals.

David Smith, the Director of Policy at the RLA, comments: “Today’s report is a damning critique of a failing policy. The inspector is clear that it has yet to demonstrate its worth and the Government has failed to take on board the concerns of key stakeholders in the sector.

“Landlords should not be used as scapegoats for the failures of the border agencies. It is time to suspend this controversial and unwelcome policy.”

Chai Patel, the Legal Policy Director of the JCWI, adds: “It’s disgraceful that the Home Office has refused to properly evaluate whether or not the Right to Rent scheme is actually working to reduce irregular migration. They have no idea. Unsurprisingly, the Home Office has also refused to allow groups representing the migrants and ethnic minorities affected by this discriminatory scheme to sit on its consultative panel.

“It’s time for Amber Rudd to put an end to this divisive mess of a policy that forces landlords to act as immigration officials. Until she does, we will continue to challenge it in the courts.”

Landlords, do you agree that the scheme should be abolished?

LendInvest’s Latest Buy-to-Let Index Report Shows Prosperity in the Midlands

Published On: March 29, 2018 at 12:00 pm

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Categories: Landlord News

The latest of LendInvest’s Buy-to-Let Index report has been released, and we can see which areas are faring amongst the slowdown in growth that we are currently seeing in house prices.

This quarterly Buy-to-Let Index report looks at areas around England and Wales, and ranks them in a list of all 105 postcodes, based on specific data. They look at capital value growth, transaction volumes, rental yield and rental price growth in these areas.

Ian Boden, Sales Director at LendInvest, has said: “We don’t subscribe to the idea of a mass house price growth slowdown throughout the country. Instead we wanted the Index to show us where the slowdown is hitting hardest, and where the opportunities continue to abound for UK landlords and property investors alike.

“Predictions for the overall growth of the housing market remain positive for the year ahead but this quarter’s Index indicates that house price growth slowdown is impacting on different regions to different degrees.”

Overall, we are ending the month with Colchester taking the top spot of the BTL Index table, after being 2nd since September 2017.

There are also a few midlands cities and towns showing prosperous times for the Midlands. We’ve got Northampton now 2nd, Leicester 3rd, and Birmingham 5th.

Alternatively, we have witnessed a drop in the table for those usually in a stably high position, falling as many as 58 places. Dartford is now 43rd, Romford is 14th and St Albans is 73rd, all towns in the vicinity of London.

Boden also commented: “Striking the right balance when it comes to making property investment decisions is crucial; however, the current limitations in house price growth mean fewer opportunities in the market to perform a traditional “flip” of a property to get a return.

“We can expect to see investors taking longer-term positions in property as they look to yields and rental price growth as valuable metrics in the short-term to determine the profitability of an asset. The best way for investors to take advantage of the volatility in the rental market is to seek out buy-to-let opportunities.”

For landlords and property investors looking to invest in more properties, it is worth considering taking into account such information when deciding which areas to add to a portfolio. The BTL index could be used to help determine where might be a wise choice as a long-term asset.

IMLA Market Review Forecast Predicts Rise in Gross Mortgage Lending of 2018

Published On: March 29, 2018 at 11:02 am

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Categories: Finance News

The Intermediary Mortgage Lenders Association’s (IMLA) fifth annual market review forecast has been released, and a rise in the gross mortgage lending of 2018 has been foreseen. This will be the case for the eighth year in a row, reaching the highest figures since 2007.

However, challenges still exist in relation to the current housing crisis that the UK is currently experiencing. A shortage of properties combined with a very low turnover, along with the various other obstacles in the way of first-time buyers and “second-steppers”, have created a rough road to becoming a homeowner.

This report focuses on the ageing demographics, those that may result in profound consequences for the mortgage market. Amongst older homeowners there is a growing amount of those with housing who have less, or even no reliance on mortgage finance, but are determined to keep their properties for as long as possible. This kink in the line of property turnaround is not helping the situation, and is causing a knock-on effect for the second-steppers looking to climb the property ladder.

Kate Davies, Executive Director of IMLA, has commented: “Despite the recovery of the housing market and the availability of mortgage finance since the last recession, stricter affordability rules are limiting activity by those who would otherwise be highly leveraged.

“Transactions levels have fallen and there is evidence of more cash being injected into home purchase. People are moving less often – whether by choice or constraint.”

Looking at this forecast, we can expect to see gross mortgage lending reaching £265 billion, with a net mortgage lending of £47 billion. Applications for remortgages appear to be in a higher demand than lending for house purchase, seeing a total of £94 billion going towards remortgaging.

IMLA Market Review Forecast Predicts Rise in Gross Mortgage Lending of 2018

IMLA Market Review Forecast Predicts Rise in Gross Mortgage Lending of 2018

A large portion of this lending is in fact coming from intermediaries on behalf of buy-to-let clients, with an expected £158 billion coming in this year, and £164 billion in 2019. If this forecast carries through, we will be seeing a higher share of lending coming from this source than there was last year, seeing a percentage of 72.2, compared to the 71.3% result of 2017.

However, in 2018 and 2019 we should apparently expect to see a recovery for gross buy-to-let lending, despite the changes in tax for landlords, such as the Stamp Duty increase.

In IMLA’s analysis we can see that less new house purchases have been funded by mortgages. The proportion of such has fallen from 52% in 2006 to 41% in 2016. 2017 shows a slight increase, but only just at 41.5%.

With the average age of a homeowner rising from 52 in 1996 to 57 in 2016, we are beginning to see a changing face of our UK homeowners. With this increase of homeownership amongst older people (bearing in mind that many of these will have paid of their mortgage), there is a historic low of housing turnover. Overall, this has resulted in a reduced dependence on borrowing. Only 10.6% of the total mortgages in 2017 were new applications, which is less than half of 2003’s peak of 24.2%.

Between 2008 and 2017, £261 billion has been funded into the property market, due to a combination of regular and lump sum mortgage repayments and cash deposits. The number of first-time buyers increased to 366,000 in 2017, which is thought to have been assisted by extra factors such as cash inheritances, and the ‘Bank of Mum and Dad’. This help towards the saving of a deposit, alongside government schemes such as Help to Buy and the removal of Stamp Duty for first-time buyers, has been a huge help for those looking to make their first step on the property ladder.

However, despite the promising amount of progress, the amount of people progressing on the ladder and upsizing their property have reduced 47% since 2007, due to stricter mortgage affordability criteria on larger homes.

Davies has also commented: “It’s important that government now recognises the demographic and socio-economic changes that have influenced the direction and makeup of the housing market.

“Whilst home ownership remains the ultimate goal for many, there will be significant numbers of people who will choose or need to rent at some point in their lives. The market needs to work for everyone and we all – government, lenders and housing industry – should work together to adopt new approaches that can increase the supply of homes suitable for all ages and tenures.”

Build to Rent in the UK today: Creating the Communities of the Future

Published On: March 29, 2018 at 9:40 am

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Categories: Property News

Even in our increasingly connected world, social isolation is a problem. In days gone by, our ancestors would have lived in communities, shared food and resources and generally lived in a more interconnected world. So what’s caused this shift, and is there a way we could return to more community-centred and healthier times for all?

Even though each day we scroll through our Facebook, Twitter, Instagram and LinkedIn profiles to see the people we are connected with, it seems clear this does not truly match up with face-to-face and real-life interactions with the people closest to us.

Somehow, even though it appears on the surface that we are more connected than ever before, the widespread mental health issues affecting a large proportion of our population seem an indicator of a bigger problem.

Atlas Residential’s Operations Director, Stephanie Smith, considers the implications of this and what the build to rent sector can do to combat the situation;

Smith writes; ‘An overwhelming truth of today’s “advanced” world is, quite simply, social isolation is rapidly becoming one of the largest health risks facing the UK population. Despite technology providing more avenues of connection than ever before, we have never felt so disconnected.

‘Meaningful discussion has been replaced by cat videos, 280 characters or less and picture-perfect images of lives that, while we fully realise can’t possibly be as idyllic as the photos suggest, adds stress and focus on struggles we may be experiencing internally.

‘It’s essential to look at different communities around the world, where life is drastically different to the buzzing cities and 70 hour work weeks of the US and UK, to see where we can improve and also dispel assumptions about how to reach the elusive goal of a “quality, long life”.

‘A Brigham Young University study of tens of thousands of people found that social interaction and close relationships were the top two predictors for long life, again outweighing clean air, healthy body weight, exercise and more. Further to this, an Amsterdam Study of the Elderly reveals that those who suffer from loneliness are at a 64% greater risk of developing dementia.

‘It’s not a secret to any of us that an evening laughing with friends or relaxing with our families with popcorn and a movie is far better than staring at our laptops or smartphones, however, it causes one to ask why and when we allowed the latter to become the dominant factor of our lives?’

Build to Rent properties could help create a greater sense of community

Build to Rent properties could help create a greater sense of community, c/o Atlas Residential, Bow Square, Southampton

Smith here poses an interesting question. Perhaps the scrolling through on social media we all find ourselves guilty of (on an all too regular basis!) is an effect of something out of place in our realities.

Check out this article on the build to rent sector’s rising popularity in the UK’s housing market.

How might build to rent developments work to improve the social conditions of our culture?

As Smith points out, ‘Through careful design and thoughtful management, we have the ability to bring vital interactions into our residents’ lives, thus enhancing their wellbeing through the home environment. The emphasis is on community creation not just property provision.

‘Shared social spaces for residents to interact are one facet of this community creation approach. However, it is important to realise that sites without extra spaces like resident lounges, etc. can create many opportunities to add value to their residents’ lives.’

Purpose-built developments in the rental sector could be well equipped to suit the needs of key inhabitants. The provision of certain facilities, such as creating open social spaces, organising clubs and interest groups (something many of us join during university as societies, but are not always as widely available in adult life).

All in all, it seems that looking forward, housing is a key way in which the UK’s property and housing industries could contribute more to positive mental health and less social isolation. Residents could one day be able to pursue more of their interests, get to know their fellow neighbours, and have a pleasant environment to return to after work, all whilst keeping it affordable and suited to the needs of occupants.